Public evidence record

Notlosingiswinning

0xa87db93bcb8adfb17eb66210a19087a5cba8ff4d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 25, 2026

Source sync: Sep 25, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.3%322 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.4%$41,240 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.60%933 pre-event fills

Settlement record

163-144Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−25.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 322 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.7% to +6.1%

322 closed positions · 1,328 taker fills · $41,240 deployed

Typical position $101 (median) · closing line value measured over 933 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer256 closed137–110-0.6%
Esports66 closed26–34-8.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-24	Combo: Yes — Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? + Yes — Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24? + Yes — Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24? + No — Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?soccer · combo	—	won	36¢ · +179	$100	+170
2026-09-24	Combo: Over — Serbia vs. Greece: O/U 1.5 + Over — Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 + Over — Austria vs. Israel: Austria O/U 1.5 + Yes — Netherlands vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score + Yes — Portugal leading at halftime?soccer · combo	—	won	14¢ · +608	$50	+290
2026-09-24	Combo: Under — Liechtenstein vs. Lithuania: O/U 2.5 + Under — Kosovo vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5 + Yes — Netherlands vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score + Yes — Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24? + No — Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?soccer · combo	—	won	19¢ · +429	$50	+204