Genoa 2 (Doubles): Kalender/Serdarusic vs Broska/Oradini
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Public evidence record
0xa9175ba1b3ed219d392bd6474f0da4492c884e8d
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-6.7%1,135 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-7.3%$208,287 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.15%918 pre-event fillsSettlement record
517-554-12Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−97.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,135 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.0% to -1.5%
1,135 closed positions · 1,313 taker fills · $208,287 deployed
Typical position $150 (median) · closing line value measured over 918 pre-event fills · 32% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Genoa 2 (Doubles): Kalender/Serdarusic vs Broska/Oradini
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 92 sports · 8 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Pibbles Corp vs Hokori - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Hokori | won | 59¢ · -144 | $236 | +160 |
| 2026-09-21 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageesports · moneyline | G2 Ares | won | 73¢ · -270 | $162 | +60 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageesports · moneyline | Team Yandex | won | 58¢ · -138 | $215 | +154 |
| 2026-09-20 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
| Astralis |
| won |
| 80¢ · -400 |
| $118 |
| +28 |
| 2026-09-20 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Movistar KOI | lost | 9¢ · +1058 | $24 | −24 |
| 2026-09-20 | Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+2.5)esports · map handicap | Aurora Gaming | won | 54¢ · -117 | $184 | +150 |
| 2026-09-20 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora Gaming | won | 31¢ · +223 | $89 | +187 |
| 2026-09-20 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $497 | −497 |
| 2026-09-19 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Movistar KOI | won | 32¢ · +212 | $82 | +166 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora | won | 62¢ · -163 | $225 | +136 |
| 2026-09-19 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsesports · moneyline | Karmine Corp | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $172 | −172 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group Besports · moneyline | Spirit Academy | won | 49¢ · +103 | $277 | +276 |
| 2026-09-19 | Game Handicap · Games Total: O/U 4.5esports · totals | Under | won | 65¢ · -186 | $69 | +35 |
| 2026-09-18 | Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffsesports · moneyline | ShindeN | won | 67¢ · -203 | $215 | +105 |
| 2026-09-18 | LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffsesports · moneyline | Sentinels | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $145 | −145 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 18, 2026?Non-sports | No | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $73 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffsesports · moneyline | JD Gaming | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $41 | −41 |
| 2026-09-18 | SMU vs. Louisvillefootball · moneyline | Louisville | won | 54¢ · -117 | $70 | +56 |
| 2026-09-18 | LSU vs. Ole Missfootball · moneyline | LSU | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $59 | −59 |
| 2026-09-18 | Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 50¢ · -100 | $65 | +61 |
| 2026-09-18 | Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora Gaming | won | 60¢ · -150 | $115 | +76 |
| 2026-09-18 | Counter-Strike: BBL vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group Besports · moneyline | BBL | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $92 | −92 |
| 2026-09-18 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group Besports · moneyline | Liquid | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $136 | −15 |
| 2026-09-18 | Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)esports · map handicap | Movistar KOI | won | 44¢ · +127 | $32 | +39 |
| 2026-09-18 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Movistar KOI | won | 59¢ · -144 | $60 | +39 |
| 2026-09-18 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Movistar KOI | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $60 | −60 |
| 2026-09-18 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsesports · moneyline | Movistar KOI | won | 63¢ · -170 | $78 | +43 |
| 2026-09-18 | Game Handicap · Games Total: O/U 4.5esports · totals | Under | won | 69¢ · -223 | $104 | +45 |
| 2026-09-18 | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group Besports · moneyline | Inner Circle Esports | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $160 | −160 |
| 2026-09-18 | Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Inner Circle Esports (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group Besports · moneyline | Inner Circle Esports | won | 74¢ · -285 | $198 | +66 |
| 2026-09-17 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 59¢ · -144 | $25 | +16 |
| 2026-09-17 | Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | won | 40¢ · +150 | $44 | +62 |
| 2026-09-17 | Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 54¢ · -117 | $56 | +46 |
| 2026-09-17 | Counter-Strike: Metizport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group Aesports · moneyline | GamerLegion | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-09-17 | Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group Aesports · moneyline | NIP | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $27 | −27 |
| 2026-09-17 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Natus Vincere | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $190 | −190 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?Non-sports | No | exited | 81¢ · -426 | $90 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election?Non-sports | No | exited | 63¢ · -170 | $88 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 42¢ · +138 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 43¢ · +133 | $51 | +64 |
| 2026-09-17 | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group Besports · moneyline | Inner Circle Esports | won | 49¢ · +104 | $69 | +68 |
| 2026-09-17 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 51¢ · -104 | $21 | +20 |
| 2026-09-17 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffsesports · moneyline | MIBR | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-09-17 | Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | NEC | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $28 | −28 |
| 2026-09-17 | Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $38 | −38 |
| 2026-09-17 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group Aesports · moneyline | B8 | won | 60¢ · -150 | $80 | +50 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 64¢ · -178 | $93 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $87 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Invictus Gaming | won | 53¢ · -113 | $40 | +34 |
| 2026-09-17 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group Aesports · moneyline | NIP | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $48 | −48 |
| 2026-09-17 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)esports · map handicap | Vitality | won | 70¢ · -233 | $129 | +52 |
| 2026-09-17 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Vitality | won | 82¢ · -456 | $145 | +30 |
| 2026-09-17 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffsesports · moneyline | Vitality | won | 90¢ · -900 | $167 | +18 |
| 2026-09-16 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Zeynep Sonmez vs Iva Jovictennis · moneyline | Iva Jovic | won | 80¢ · -400 | $128 | +31 |
| 2026-09-16 | Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $166 | −166 |
| 2026-09-16 | Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group Besports · moneyline | EYEBALLERS | won | 43¢ · +133 | $22 | +28 |
| 2026-09-16 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 87¢ · -669 | $159 | +23 |
| 2026-09-16 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C?soccer | V | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $33 | +31 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 78¢ · -355 | $75 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $56 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 88¢ · -733 | $108 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Non-sports | No | exited | 68¢ · -213 | $89 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Olympiakós SFP | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $24 | −24 |
| 2026-09-16 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club · Spread FC Barcelona (-3.5)soccer · spreads | Real Racing Club | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $96 | −96 |
| 2026-09-16 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Spread Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Detroit Tigers | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-09-16 | Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevatennis · moneyline | Francisca Jorge | won | 48¢ · +109 | $64 | +68 |
| 2026-09-16 | Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | AZ | won | 61¢ · -156 | $30 | +19 |
| 2026-09-16 | Sunderland AFC vs. AZ: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $27 | −27 |
| 2026-09-16 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Luminosity (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group Aesports · moneyline | GamerLegion | won | 55¢ · -122 | $23 | +18 |
| 2026-09-16 | Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)soccer · spreads | NK Celje | won | 36¢ · +178 | $37 | +63 |
| 2026-09-16 | MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $66 | −66 |
| 2026-09-16 | Valencia: Guiomar Maristany vs Marina Bassols Riberatennis · moneyline | Marina Bassols Ribera | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $272 | −272 |
| 2026-09-15 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $111 | −111 |
| 2026-09-15 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 11¢ · +812 | $37 | −37 |
| 2026-09-15 | Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Nemiga Gaming | lost | 49¢ · +105 | $327 | −327 |
| 2026-09-15 | Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Nemiga Gaming | won | 50¢ · -100 | $408 | +404 |
| 2026-09-15 | Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs UPGRADE (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsesports · moneyline | FORZE Reload | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $110 | −110 |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $45 | −45 |
| 2026-09-15 | Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 90¢ · -900 | $152 | +16 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bristol City FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $24 | −24 |
| 2026-09-15 | Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Open Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | ASTRAL | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $82 | −82 |
| 2026-09-14 | Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Young27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Cesports · moneyline | WW Team | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $83 | −83 |
| 2026-09-14 | Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 · Spread Como 1907 (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Parma Calcio 1913 | won | 41¢ · +144 | $62 | +84 |
| 2026-09-14 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Cesports · moneyline | Nemiga | exited | 81¢ · -426 | $42 | −12 |
| 2026-09-14 | LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffsesports · moneyline | Verdant | won | 70¢ · -233 | $70 | +29 |
| 2026-09-14 | LoL: EXILE esports vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsesports · moneyline | eSuba | won | 74¢ · -285 | $119 | +41 |
| 2026-09-14 | Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Play-Inesports · moneyline | NAVI Junior | won | 41¢ · +144 | $47 | +65 |
| 2026-09-14 | Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC · Spread Newcastle United FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Leeds United FC | won | 87¢ · -669 | $102 | +14 |
| 2026-09-14 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Nemiga | lost | 86¢ · -614 | $44 | −44 |
| 2026-09-14 | LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Verdant | won | 65¢ · -186 | $34 | +17 |
| 2026-09-14 | LoL · Games Total: O/U 4.5esports · totals | Under | won | 74¢ · -285 | $67 | +22 |
| 2026-09-14 | Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 67¢ · -203 | $70 | +33 |
| 2026-09-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $93 | −93 |
| 2026-09-13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?soccer | Yes | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $97 | −97 |
| 2026-09-13 | LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational EMEA Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | Movistar KOI Fénix | won | 76¢ · -317 | $98 | +30 |
| 2026-09-13 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsesports · moneyline | Bilibili Gaming | lost | 84¢ · -525 | $268 | −268 |
| 2026-09-13 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffsesports · moneyline | Legacy | won | 50¢ · -100 | $84 | +79 |
| 2026-09-12 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Non-sports | No | exited | 84¢ · -525 | $147 | +16 |
| 2026-09-12 | Game Handicap · Games Total: O/U 4.5esports · totals | Under | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $110 | −110 |
| 2026-09-12 | LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | FURIA Esports | lost | 43¢ · +135 | $29 | −29 |