value$41
Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5
Over
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Public evidence record
0xa9959291dbca9507fff86f6e2d9f90d788403d50
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-9.0%484 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-8.1%$109,348 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-4.52%409 pre-event fillsSettlement record
161-227-5Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−59.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 484 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -16.0% to -2.1%
484 closed positions · 953 taker fills · $109,348 deployed
Typical position $187 (median) · closing line value measured over 409 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5
Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 88 sports · 12 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | Combo: Over — Brenton Strange: Receptions O/U 3.5 + 49ers — Raiders vs. 49ersfootball · combo | — | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $150 | −150 |
| 2026-11-06 | Jaguars Team Total: O/U 26.5football · team totals | Over | won | 46¢ · +117 | $224 | +255 |
| 2026-11-05 | Brenton Strange: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 28¢ · +260 | $60 | −60 |
| 2026-11-05 | Parker Washington: Anytime Touchdown |
| Yes |
| won |
| 40¢ · +152 |
| $124 |
| +179 |
| 2026-11-05 | Combo: Yes — AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 14.5 + Texans — Texans vs. Chargersmulti sport · combo | — | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $160 | −160 |
| 2026-11-04 | Mavericks vs. Spurs · Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5basketball · threes | Yes | won | 55¢ · -120 | $133 | +105 |
| 2026-11-04 | Mavericks vs. Spurs · Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5basketball · threes | Yes | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $128 | −128 |
| 2026-11-03 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNon-sports | No | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $1,162 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 70¢ · -239 | $420 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 68¢ · -212 | $557 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Chennai Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mai Hontamatennis · moneyline | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $240 | −229 |
| 2026-11-03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | 80¢ · -400 | $69 | +15 |
| 2026-11-03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-11-03 | Caleb Williams: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $38 | −38 |
| 2026-11-03 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 2+ Touchdownsfootball · two plus touchdowns | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-11-02 | Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5football · passing touchdowns | Over | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $89 | −89 |
| 2026-11-02 | Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5football · rushing yards | Over | lost | 38¢ · +160 | $80 | −80 |
| 2026-11-02 | Eagles vs. Commandersfootball · moneyline | Commanders | won | 70¢ · -233 | $394 | +164 |
| 2026-11-02 | Combo: Broncos — Broncos vs. Cardinals + Patriots — Patriots vs. Dolphins + Thunder — Clippers vs. Thundermulti sport · combo | — | won | 51¢ · -105 | $325 | +295 |
| 2026-11-01 | Combo: No — UFC Fight Night: Mickey Gall vs. Zach Reese (Middleweight, Prelims) + No — Pacers vs. Heat + Yes — Lions vs. Dolphinsmulti sport · combo | — | exited | 47¢ · +114 | $150 | +76 |
| 2026-11-01 | Chiefs vs. Broncosfootball · moneyline | Broncos | exited | 48¢ · +107 | $225 | −181 |
| 2026-11-01 | Combo: Jaguars — Colts vs. Jaguars + Lions — Vikings vs. Lionsfootball · combo | — | won | 52¢ · -107 | $155 | +138 |
| 2026-11-01 | Combo: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani — UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card) + Lions — Vikings vs. Lionsmulti sport · combo | — | won | 46¢ · +118 | $165 | +186 |
| 2026-11-01 | Combo: Falcons — Falcons vs. Buccaneers + Heat — Pacers vs. Heatmulti sport · combo | — | lost | 33¢ · +207 | $70 | −70 |
| 2026-11-01 | Falcons vs. Buccaneersfootball · moneyline | Falcons | exited | 45¢ · +121 | $113 | −79 |
| 2026-11-01 | Titans vs. Bengalsfootball · moneyline | Bengals | won | 69¢ · -223 | $109 | +47 |
| 2026-11-01 | Amon-Ra St. Brown: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 43¢ · +134 | $112 | −74 |
| 2026-11-01 | Ravens vs. Billsfootball · moneyline | Ravens | lost | 38¢ · +162 | $178 | −107 |
| 2026-11-01 | Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | won | 32¢ · +213 | $69 | +140 |
| 2026-11-01 | Patriots vs. Dolphinsfootball · moneyline | Patriots | exited | 76¢ · -317 | $233 | −6 |
| 2026-11-01 | George Pickens: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $109 | −109 |
| 2026-11-01 | Keon Coleman: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-11-01 | Zay Flowers: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 40¢ · +151 | $76 | −76 |
| 2026-11-01 | Jeremiyah Love: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $121 | −121 |
| 2026-11-01 | Tyler Allgeier: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | won | 20¢ · +407 | $51 | +202 |
| 2026-11-01 | Chris Rodriguez Jr.: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | won | 24¢ · +311 | $51 | +155 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bears vs. Seahawksfootball · moneyline | Bears | won | 39¢ · +156 | $122 | −7 |
| 2026-11-01 | Combo: Ode' Osbourne — UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card) + Spurs — Timberwolves vs. Spursmulti sport · combo | — | lost | 40¢ · +151 | $81 | −81 |
| 2026-11-01 | Combo: Jaguars — Colts vs. Jaguars + Francis Marshall — UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card) + Bengals — Titans vs. Bengalsmulti sport · combo | — | lost | 47¢ · +112 | $165 | −165 |
| 2026-10-31 | Perth Wildcats vs. Illawarra Hawksmoneyline · Non-sports | Illawarra Hawks | won | 76¢ · -317 | $352 | +105 |
| 2026-10-31 | Perth Wildcats vs. Illawarra Hawksmoneyline · Non-sports | Perth Wildcats | lost | 69¢ · -220 | $146 | −92 |
| 2026-10-31 | Cairns Taipans vs. Melbourne Unitedmoneyline · Non-sports | Melbourne United | won | 74¢ · -286 | $284 | +94 |
| 2026-10-31 | Combo: Lakers — Lakers vs. Warriors + Francis Marshall — UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)multi sport · combo | — | lost | 38¢ · +166 | $115 | −115 |
| 2026-10-31 | Combo: Lakers — Lakers vs. Warriors + Lions — Vikings vs. Lionsmulti sport · combo | — | lost | 37¢ · +173 | $113 | −113 |
| 2026-10-31 | Combo: Jaguars — Colts vs. Jaguars + Rockets — Rockets vs. Mavericks + Bengals — Titans vs. Bengalsmulti sport · combo | — | lost | 43¢ · +132 | $175 | −175 |
| 2026-10-30 | Rockets vs. Mavericks · Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 22.5basketball · points | Yes | won | 54¢ · -117 | $135 | +115 |
| 2026-10-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 85¢ · -567 | $101 | −96 |
| 2026-10-29 | Lakers vs. Clippersbasketball · moneyline | Clippers | lost | 44¢ · +125 | $135 | −105 |
| 2026-10-29 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 8¢ · +1150 | $43 | — |
| 2026-10-29 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 6¢ · +1539 | $33 | — |
| 2026-10-29 | Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 6¢ · +1539 | $33 | — |
| 2026-10-29 | Combo: Lakers — Lakers vs. Clippers + Bengals — Titans vs. Bengalsmulti sport · combo | — | exited | 53¢ · -111 | $175 | −73 |
| 2026-10-29 | Combo: Cowboys — Cowboys vs. Eagles + Rockets — Rockets vs. Bucksmulti sport · combo | — | won | 51¢ · -103 | $185 | +171 |
| 2026-10-28 | Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.5basketball · points | Yes | lost | 34¢ · +193 | $68 | −68 |
| 2026-10-27 | Trail Blazers vs. Lakers · Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5basketball · assists | Yes | won | 54¢ · -120 | $170 | +142 |
| 2026-10-27 | Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5basketball · threes | Yes | won | 39¢ · +157 | $75 | +118 |
| 2026-10-26 | Cowboys vs. Eaglesfootball · moneyline | Cowboys | won | 67¢ · -203 | $400 | +191 |
| 2026-10-26 | Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 25¢ · +301 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-10-26 | George Pickens: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | won | 33¢ · +203 | $103 | +203 |
| 2026-10-26 | Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5basketball · threes | Yes | won | 50¢ · -102 | $110 | +108 |
| 2026-10-26 | Justin Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5basketball · rebounds | Yes | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $110 | −110 |
| 2026-10-26 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | won | 45¢ · +122 | $116 | +137 |
| 2026-10-25 | Combo: Rams — Rams vs. Raiders + Bengals — Bengals vs. Ravensfootball · combo | — | won | 37¢ · +172 | $270 | +442 |
| 2026-10-25 | Combo: Packers — Packers vs. Lions + Cavaliers — Nets vs. Cavaliers + Spurs — Spurs vs. Mavericksmulti sport · combo | — | lost | 26¢ · +291 | $92 | −11 |
| 2026-10-25 | Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | won | 46¢ · +117 | $46 | +52 |
| 2026-10-25 | Combo: Jets — Dolphins vs. Jets + Browns — Browns vs. Titansfootball · combo | — | exited | 37¢ · +173 | $211 | −165 |
| 2026-10-25 | Steelers vs. Saintsfootball · moneyline | Saints | exited | 25¢ · +300 | $51 | −32 |
| 2026-10-25 | Chris Olave: 2+ Touchdownsfootball · two plus touchdowns | Yes | lost | 5¢ · +1861 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-10-25 | Rico Dowdle: 2+ Touchdownsfootball · two plus touchdowns | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +3471 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-25 | Chris Olave: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $107 | −107 |
| 2026-10-25 | Rico Dowdle: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 22¢ · +357 | $36 | −36 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Movsar Evloev | lost | 52¢ · -106 | $644 | −644 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: No — Warriors vs. Lakers + Yes — Rams vs. Raidersmulti sport · combo | — | exited | 44¢ · +125 | $180 | +48 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Yes — Timberwolves vs. Heat + Yes — Broncos vs. Cardinalsmulti sport · combo | — | exited | 32¢ · +210 | $80 | +75 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Merab Dvalishvili | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $196 | −196 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Rizvan Kuniev | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $200 | −153 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Azamat Murzakanov — UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) + Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev — UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · combo | — | lost | 54¢ · -118 | $211 | −211 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Azamat Murzakanov — UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) + Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev — UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) + Abubakar Vagaev — UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) + Asaf Chopurov — UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)mma · combo | — | lost | 28¢ · +262 | $85 | −11 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Iasmin Lucindo — UFC 333: Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) + Asaf Chopurov — UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims) + Browns — Browns vs. Titansmulti sport · combo | — | lost | 37¢ · +169 | $82 | −82 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Yes — UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) + Yes — Heat vs. Hornetsmulti sport · combo | — | exited | 34¢ · +191 | $89 | +41 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Bolaji Oki | lost | 50¢ · +101 | $241 | −241 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Nurullo Aliev | lost | 48¢ · +110 | $200 | −200 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Spurs — Rockets vs. Spurs + Patriots — Patriots vs. Dolphins + Spurs — Spurs vs. Mavericksmulti sport · combo | — | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $170 | −170 |
| 2026-10-23 | Timberwolves vs. Magicbasketball · moneyline | Timberwolves | won | 49¢ · +104 | $150 | +156 |
| 2026-10-23 | Combo: 49ers — Commanders vs. 49ers + Bears — Patriots vs. Bearsfootball · combo | — | won | 48¢ · +108 | $200 | +206 |
| 2026-10-21 | Combo: Yes — Broncos vs. Cardinals + No — Thunder vs. Spursmulti sport · combo | — | exited | 33¢ · +206 | $140 | −139 |
| 2026-10-20 | 76ers vs. Knicksbasketball · moneyline | 76ers | won | 39¢ · +156 | $80 | −2 |
| 2026-10-18 | Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $137 | −137 |
| 2026-10-18 | Combo: Bills — Bills vs. Raiders + Yes — Jonathan Taylor: Anytime Touchdownfootball · combo | — | won | 47¢ · +113 | $165 | +178 |
| 2026-10-18 | Combo: Panthers — Panthers vs. Eagles + Browns — Browns vs. Titansfootball · combo | — | exited | 35¢ · +182 | $110 | +39 |
| 2026-10-18 | Combo: Bears — Bears vs. Falcons + Douglas da Lapa — Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)multi sport · combo | — | won | 38¢ · +161 | $121 | +186 |
| 2026-10-18 | Combo: Panthers — Panthers vs. Eagles + Patriots — Jets vs. Patriotsfootball · combo | — | won | 46¢ · +118 | $250 | +282 |
| 2026-10-18 | Combo: Yes — Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdown + Patriots — Jets vs. Patriotsfootball · combo | — | won | 41¢ · +142 | $150 | +202 |
| 2026-10-18 | Zay Flowers: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5football · receiving yards | Over | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $86 | −44 |
| 2026-10-18 | Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 31¢ · +223 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-10-18 | Bears vs. Falconsfootball · moneyline | Bears | won | 52¢ · -108 | $122 | +76 |
| 2026-10-18 | Combo: Rams — Cardinals vs. Rams + Steelers — Steelers vs. Buccaneersfootball · combo | — | exited | 50¢ · -101 | $205 | −158 |
| 2026-10-18 | Brenton Strange: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5football · receiving yards | Over | lost | 36¢ · +176 | $102 | −45 |
| 2026-10-18 | Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 27¢ · +270 | $66 | −66 |
| 2026-10-18 | Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $112 | −112 |