Public evidence record

scrpn

0xaa06e5aa7c8b61c537f0acc6f2c2aabcb44f4e52

Record anatomy

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Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+1.7%3,110 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+2.7%$268,471 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-3.33%144 pre-event fills

Settlement record

3001-5-7Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−2.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 3,110 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: +1.3% to +2.1%

3,110 closed positions · 3,601 taker fills · $268,471 deployed

Typical position $50 (median) · closing line value measured over 144 pre-event fills · 11% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

9 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$15

Balatonfuredi Kse vs. Gyongyosi KK

Gyongyosi KK

entry 99¢now 76¢ · -308−23.5 pts

Open

value$55

Slovakia vs. Greece

Greece

entry 99¢ · -8672now 76¢ · -317−22.9 pts

Open

value$55

Finland vs. Estonia

Estonia

entry 99¢ · -8672now 76¢ · -317−22.9 pts

Open

value$50

Serbia vs. Belgium

Belgium

entry 99¢ · -8521now 76¢ · -317−22.8 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis2,486 closed2462–2–6+1.4%
Esports522 closed469–1–1+0.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 19 sports · 81 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Exact Score: FC Oliveira do Hospital 1 - 1 Juventude SC?soccer · soccer exact score	Yes	won	1¢ · +9900	$1	—
2026-09-20	FC Oliveira do Hospital vs. Juventude SC: Juventude SC O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals	Under	won	90¢ · -900	$258	+27
2026-09-20	FC Oliveira do Hospital vs. Juventude SC: FC Oliveira do Hospital O/U 2.5soccer · soccer team totals	Under	won	90¢ · -900	$124	+13
2026-09-20

scrpn

Know what this profile can prove.

Currently holding

Gyongyosi KK

Greece

Estonia

Belgium

By sport

Position log

Italy

Over

Over

Over

Under