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Public evidence record
0xaa4c629fcb0759e494ee5d35f7def59b088a9671
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-1.7%408 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
+0.0%$288,379 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-2.84%73 pre-event fillsSettlement record
337-55Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−9.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 408 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.1% to +1.7%
408 closed positions · 827 taker fills · $288,379 deployed
Typical position $602 (median) · closing line value measured over 73 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 86 sports · 14 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $8 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $1,394 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Umar Nurmagomedov | lost | 84¢ · -525 | $38 | −38 |
| 2026-08-29 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) |
| Philadelphia Phillies |
| won |
| 79¢ · -376 |
| $30 |
| +8 |
| 2026-08-28 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 68¢ · -212 | $21 | +9 |
| 2026-08-28 | Combo: No — Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-28? + No — Will Venezia FC win on 2026-08-28? + No — Will Lille OSC win on 2026-08-28? + Yes — Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28? + No — Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?soccer · combo | — | won | 43¢ · +132 | $9 | +12 |
| 2026-08-27 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-08-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 86¢ · -614 | $8 | — |
| 2026-08-27 | Combo: Los Angeles Dodgers — Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves + Milwaukee Brewers — Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Metsbaseball · combo | — | lost | 68¢ · -216 | $1,230 | −1,230 |
| 2026-08-26 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | M80 | won | 75¢ · -307 | $607 | +188 |
| 2026-08-26 | Will Thailand win on 2026-08-26?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 82¢ · -456 | $504 | — |
| 2026-08-26 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $411 | — |
| 2026-08-26 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Aesports · moneyline | Natus Vincere | lost | 93¢ · -1329 | $1,095 | −1,095 |
| 2026-08-26 | Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs ODDIK - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | ODDIK | won | 97¢ · -3619 | $401 | +11 |
| 2026-08-26 | Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stageesports · moneyline | Bushido Wildcats | won | 91¢ · -1045 | $1,004 | +91 |
| 2026-08-26 | LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 Winneresports · child moneyline | KT Rolster | won | 86¢ · -614 | $994 | +153 |
| 2026-08-26 | LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-Inesports · moneyline | KT Rolster | won | 87¢ · -669 | $948 | +135 |
| 2026-08-26 | Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 70¢ · -233 | $1,378 | +561 |
| 2026-08-26 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread New York Mets (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $1,289 | +92 |
| 2026-08-25 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Detroit Tigers (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Tampa Bay Rays | lost | 93¢ · -1305 | $401 | −401 |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 92¢ · -1221 | $602 | −602 |
| 2026-08-25 | LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU (BO3) - HLL Playoffsesports · moneyline | Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports | won | 96¢ · -2645 | $138 | +5 |
| 2026-08-25 | Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | PuckChamp | won | 88¢ · -721 | $101 | +13 |
| 2026-08-25 | Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 95¢ · -1806 | $100 | — |
| 2026-08-25 | Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stageesports · moneyline | Color | won | 88¢ · -728 | $101 | +13 |
| 2026-08-25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25?Non-sports | No | won | 97¢ · -2984 | $1,082 | +34 |
| 2026-08-25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 25?Non-sports | Yes | won | 97¢ · -3149 | $1,002 | +30 |
| 2026-08-25 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $2,007 | +144 |
| 2026-08-24 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 77¢ · -335 | $1,592 | — |
| 2026-08-24 | Combo: No — Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-08-23? + No — Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-08-23?soccer · combo | — | won | 87¢ · -655 | $1,387 | +201 |
| 2026-08-23 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 82¢ · -456 | $1,009 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?racing | No | won | 86¢ · -612 | $2,173 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Will Randers FC win on 2026-08-23?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 89¢ · -809 | $2,023 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Gold Coast Titans vs. Cronulla Sharksmoneyline · Non-sports | Cronulla Sharks | exited | 79¢ · -376 | $1,617 | +407 |
| 2026-08-23 | Sydney Roosters vs. Wests Tigersmoneyline · Non-sports | Sydney Roosters | lost | 95¢ · -1900 | $29 | −29 |
| 2026-08-23 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | Cleveland Guardians | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $5 | +0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 82¢ · -456 | $1,362 | +284 |
| 2026-08-23 | UFC Fight Night: Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Carli Judice | won | 84¢ · -525 | $1,150 | +207 |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Gauge Young | lost | 88¢ · -721 | $48 | −48 |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Wrexham AFC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $44 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 85¢ · -546 | $403 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-08-22?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 73¢ · -270 | $1,391 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?racing | No | lost | 85¢ · -573 | $101 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | Will SV Wehen Wiesbaden win on 2026-08-22?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $1,502 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-22?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $410 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 85¢ · -567 | $1,007 | −1,007 |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 91¢ · -1011 | $1,507 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 91¢ · -998 | $1,205 | +115 |
| 2026-08-22 | Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · moneyline | Houston Astros | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $502 | +36 |
| 2026-08-22 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $702 | +43 |
| 2026-08-21 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Atlanta Braves (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $216 | +15 |
| 2026-08-21 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $4,010 | — |
| 2026-08-21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 21?Non-sports | Yes | won | 99¢ · -11771 | $1,001 | +7 |
| 2026-08-21 | LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Secret Whales | won | 69¢ · -218 | $303 | +85 |
| 2026-08-21 | Dolphins vs. Parramatta Eelsmoneyline · Non-sports | Dolphins | won | 89¢ · -849 | $704 | +78 |
| 2026-08-21 | LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsesports · moneyline | Team Secret Whales | won | 94¢ · -1454 | $1,003 | +64 |
| 2026-08-21 | LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | BNK FearX Youth | won | 99¢ · -8792 | $500 | +5 |
| 2026-08-21 | Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Acesbasketball · moneyline | Las Vegas Aces | won | 97¢ · -2911 | $701 | +23 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinkatennis · moneyline | Roman Safiullin | won | 98¢ · -4900 | $801 | +16 |
| 2026-08-21 | New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $602 | +43 |
| 2026-08-20 | Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 83¢ · -487 | $504 | +98 |
| 2026-08-20 | San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · moneyline | Cleveland Guardians | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $501 | +30 |
| 2026-08-20 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals | won | 94¢ · -1654 | $1,003 | +58 |
| 2026-08-20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?Non-sports | Yes | won | 93¢ · -1309 | $703 | +50 |
| 2026-08-20 | LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendesports · moneyline | Bilibili Gaming | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $1,303 | +52 |
| 2026-08-20 | Melbourne Storm vs. Penrith Panthersmoneyline · Non-sports | Penrith Panthers | won | 71¢ · -245 | $130 | +50 |
| 2026-08-20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?Non-sports | Yes | won | 92¢ · -1148 | $1,006 | +81 |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $852 | — |
| 2026-08-20 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 68¢ · -210 | $1,798 | +816 |
| 2026-08-20 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 89¢ · -828 | $603 | +69 |
| 2026-08-19 | Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbaseball · moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $1,004 | +94 |
| 2026-08-19 | Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 91¢ · -995 | $2,289 | — |
| 2026-08-19 | LoL: Onion Team vs BRUTE - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | BRUTE | won | 99¢ · -7197 | $490 | +6 |
| 2026-08-19 | Will Malaysia win on 2026-08-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $1,004 | — |
| 2026-08-19 | Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $200 | +10 |
| 2026-08-19 | Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-12?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 73¢ · -270 | $101 | — |
| 2026-08-19 | Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Patrick Bradytennis · moneyline | Lui Maxted | won | 92¢ · -1179 | $1,004 | +80 |
| 2026-08-19 | Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Patrick Bradytennis · moneyline | Patrick Brady | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-08-19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?Non-sports | No | lost | 99¢ · -13085 | $1,001 | −1,001 |
| 2026-08-19 | San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $1,002 | +40 |
| 2026-08-19 | New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 86¢ · -614 | $503 | +78 |
| 2026-08-19 | Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline | Pittsburgh Pirates | won | 98¢ · -4900 | $1,001 | +19 |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Xinyu Wangtennis · moneyline | Aryna Sabalenka | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $1,002 | +39 |
| 2026-08-19 | Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempobasketball · moneyline | Indiana Fever | won | 97¢ · -3358 | $1,102 | +31 |
| 2026-08-18 | Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-08-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $1,001 | — |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Madison Keystennis · moneyline | Madison Keys | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $452 | +42 |
| 2026-08-18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 18?Non-sports | Yes | won | 99¢ · -15886 | $1,000 | +6 |
| 2026-08-18 | LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | HANJIN BRION Challengers | won | 93¢ · -1249 | $703 | +53 |
| 2026-08-18 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Non-sports | No | won | 80¢ · -393 | $505 | — |
| 2026-08-18 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Non-sports | No | won | 99¢ · -17750 | $1,000 | — |
| 2026-08-18 | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffsesports · moneyline | INOX Division | won | 96¢ · -2695 | $701 | +25 |
| 2026-08-18 | Sion: Ognjen Milic vs Lucio Rattitennis · moneyline | Lucio Ratti | won | 87¢ · -658 | $201 | +29 |
| 2026-08-18 | SD Raiders FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $120 | +5 |
| 2026-08-18 | Will Sydney FC win on 2026-08-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 74¢ · -285 | $706 | — |
| 2026-08-18 | Prague 2: Oleksii Krutykh vs Daniel Siniakovtennis · moneyline | Oleksii Krutykh | won | 95¢ · -2033 | $601 | +28 |
| 2026-08-18 | CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 83¢ · -503 | $504 | +95 |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejotennis · moneyline | Tommy Paul | won | 72¢ · -257 | $507 | +187 |
| 2026-08-18 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbasketball · moneyline | Golden State Valkyries | won | 97¢ · -3159 | $701 | +21 |
| 2026-08-18 | Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · moneyline | Chicago Cubs | won | 79¢ · -369 | $505 | +130 |
| 2026-08-18 | Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbaseball · moneyline | Minnesota Twins | won | 90¢ · -878 | $2,141 | +229 |
| 2026-08-18 | Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbaseball · moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies | won | 84¢ · -525 | $403 | +73 |