Public evidence record

ptf-taiwan

0xaa617817e0939520fffaa8465820fedfaa697f3b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+2.7%796 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+3.5%$109,081 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.43%744 pre-event fills

Settlement record

452-337Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−34.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 796 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -3.0% to +8.4%

796 closed positions · 819 taker fills · $109,081 deployed

Typical position $99 (median) · closing line value measured over 744 pre-event fills · 14% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball471 closed278–188+6.7%
Baseball322 closed174–148-4.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-19	New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5baseball · totals	Under	lost	53¢ · -113	$183	−183
2026-09-19	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5baseball · totals	Over	lost	51¢ · -104	$197	−197
2026-09-19	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5baseball · totals	Under	won	58¢ · -138	$273	+188
2026-09-19	Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5baseball · totals	Over	lost	59¢ · -144