Public evidence record

Pokermonster18

0xac1e1a14d9933d6ed2d573fb0558c783b2ceea39

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-12.0%463 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.9%$17,307 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-4.94%276 pre-event fills

Settlement record

140-306-13Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−37.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 463 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -21.6% to -2.4%

463 closed positions · 575 taker fills · $17,307 deployed

Typical position $35 (median) · closing line value measured over 276 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$19

NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?

Yes

entry 3¢ · +3348now 2¢ · +5456−1.1 pts

Open

value$23

Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes

entry 1¢now 0¢−0.1 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

MMA416 closed118–284–11-13.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Combo: Alexandre Pantoja — UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) + Marlon Vera — UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) + Mauricio Ruffy — UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)mma · combo	—	lost	4¢ · +2226	$10	−10
2026-09-20	Combo: Alexandre Pantoja — UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) + Mauricio Ruffy — UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)mma · combo	—	lost	22¢ · +352	$25	−25
2026-09-20	Combo: Sean Sharaf — UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) + Tai Tuivasa — UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · combo	—	lost	2¢ · +5817