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Public evidence record
0xacc3d0b1bf9212c657df381db6e66696e26dacae
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-2.8%248 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-1.2%$8,318 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.31%276 pre-event fillsSettlement record
168-79Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−10.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 248 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.1% to +3.6%
248 closed positions · 351 taker fills · $8,318 deployed
Typical position $35 (median) · closing line value measured over 276 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Will South Africa win?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 57¢ · -133 | $15 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaidertennis · moneyline | Iva Jovic | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $10 | −7 |
| 2026-10-21 | Guangzhou 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs James McCabetennis · moneyline | Jay Dylan Friend | won | 61¢ · -156 | $10 | +6 |
| 2026-10-16 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffsesports · moneyline | G2 Esports | lost | 36¢ · +178 |
| $15 |
| −14 |
| 2026-10-16 | Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffsesports · moneyline | LOUD | won | 40¢ · +152 | $21 | +30 |
| 2026-10-15 | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fightersbaseball · moneyline | Nippon Ham Fighters | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $5 | −3 |
| 2026-10-15 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Jelena Ostapenkotennis · moneyline | Jelena Ostapenko | won | 57¢ · -133 | $10 | +7 |
| 2026-10-15 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinskatennis · moneyline | Maja Chwalinska | won | 55¢ · -120 | $12 | +9 |
| 2026-10-15 | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilictennis · moneyline | Marin Cilic | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-14 | Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStarsbaseball · moneyline | Hanshin Tigers | lost | 65¢ · -188 | $9 | −8 |
| 2026-10-13 | Will Kyoto Sanga FC win on 2026-10-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 70¢ · -233 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-13 | Will Gamba Osaka win on 2026-10-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 59¢ · -144 | $9 | — |
| 2026-10-12 | Thunder vs. Hawksbasketball · moneyline | Hawks | won | 74¢ · -291 | $7 | +2 |
| 2026-10-12 | Bills vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline | Rams | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $8 | −8 |
| 2026-10-08 | Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffsesports · moneyline | Paper Rex | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $12 | −12 |
| 2026-10-08 | Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffsesports · moneyline | Team Vitality | won | 55¢ · -121 | $7 | +5 |
| 2026-10-08 | Hanshin Tigers vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallowsbaseball · moneyline | Hanshin Tigers | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $15 | −13 |
| 2026-10-08 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffsesports · moneyline | 100 Thieves | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $14 | −14 |
| 2026-10-08 | Hanshin Tigers vs. Hiroshima Carpbaseball · moneyline | Hanshin Tigers | won | 66¢ · -194 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-10-06 | Hanshin Tigers vs. Hiroshima Carpbaseball · moneyline | Hanshin Tigers | won | 65¢ · -186 | $10 | +5 |
| 2026-10-06 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawksbaseball · moneyline | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | won | 79¢ · -376 | $10 | +2 |
| 2026-09-11 | Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-09-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 58¢ · -140 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawksbaseball · moneyline | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $41 | −41 |
| 2026-07-03 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $31 | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $41 | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 43¢ · +133 | $36 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 46¢ · +117 | $35 | — |
| 2026-06-29 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 73¢ · -271 | $66 | — |
| 2026-06-29 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $41 | — |
| 2026-06-27 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 52¢ · -108 | $41 | — |
| 2026-06-27 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $41 | — |
| 2026-06-25 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 65¢ · -187 | $40 | — |
| 2026-06-25 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 67¢ · -203 | $40 | — |
| 2026-06-25 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 52¢ · -109 | $30 | — |
| 2026-06-24 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 42¢ · +138 | $41 | — |
| 2026-06-23 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $35 | — |
| 2026-06-23 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 72¢ · -257 | $35 | — |
| 2026-06-22 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 67¢ · -203 | $35 | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 56¢ · -127 | $30 | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $30 | — |
| 2026-06-18 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 63¢ · -170 | $35 | — |
| 2026-06-17 | Will England win on 2026-06-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 57¢ · -133 | $35 | — |
| 2026-06-17 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 76¢ · -317 | $35 | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $35 | — |
| 2026-06-14 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $30 | — |
| 2026-06-14 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 51¢ · -104 | $29 | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 70¢ · -233 | $39 | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 63¢ · -170 | $30 | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $35 | — |
| 2026-06-01 | Knicks vs. Spursbasketball · moneyline | Spurs | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-05-25 | Spurs vs. Thunderbasketball · moneyline | Thunder | won | 62¢ · -163 | $30 | +18 |
| 2026-05-22 | Thunder vs. Spursbasketball · moneyline | Spurs | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-05-21 | Canadiens vs. Hurricaneshockey · moneyline | Hurricanes | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-05-21 | Cavaliers vs. Knicksbasketball · moneyline | Knicks | won | 69¢ · -223 | $35 | +15 |
| 2026-05-20 | Spurs vs. Thunderbasketball · moneyline | Thunder | won | 68¢ · -212 | $35 | +16 |
| 2026-05-19 | Golden Knights vs. Avalanchehockey · moneyline | Avalanche | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cavaliers vs. Knicksbasketball · moneyline | Knicks | won | 69¢ · -223 | $35 | +15 |
| 2026-05-18 | Spurs vs. Thunderbasketball · moneyline | Thunder | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-05-15 | Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbasketball · moneyline | Spurs | won | 66¢ · -194 | $35 | +18 |
| 2026-05-13 | Wild vs. Avalanchehockey · moneyline | Avalanche | won | 66¢ · -194 | $30 | +15 |
| 2026-05-13 | Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbasketball · moneyline | Pistons | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-05-12 | Ducks vs. Golden Knightshockey · moneyline | Golden Knights | won | 59¢ · -144 | $30 | +20 |
| 2026-05-12 | Timberwolves vs. Spursbasketball · moneyline | Spurs | won | 78¢ · -355 | $40 | +11 |
| 2026-05-11 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $35 | — |
| 2026-05-11 | Pistons vs. Cavaliersbasketball · moneyline | Cavaliers | won | 60¢ · -150 | $30 | +20 |
| 2026-05-06 | Timberwolves vs. Spursbasketball · moneyline | Spurs | won | 78¢ · -355 | $40 | +11 |
| 2026-05-06 | 76ers vs. Knicksbasketball · moneyline | Knicks | won | 72¢ · -257 | $40 | +15 |
| 2026-05-04 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $41 | — |
| 2026-05-04 | Timberwolves vs. Spursbasketball · moneyline | Spurs | lost | 85¢ · -567 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-05-04 | 76ers vs. Knicksbasketball · moneyline | Knicks | won | 71¢ · -245 | $35 | +14 |
| 2026-05-03 | Canadiens vs. Lightninghockey · moneyline | Lightning | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-05-03 | Raptors vs. Cavaliersbasketball · moneyline | Cavaliers | won | 74¢ · -285 | $35 | +12 |
| 2026-05-03 | Magic vs. Pistonsbasketball · moneyline | Pistons | won | 74¢ · -285 | $35 | +12 |
| 2026-04-30 | Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbasketball · moneyline | Nuggets | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-04-30 | Celtics vs. 76ersbasketball · moneyline | Celtics | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-04-29 | Raptors vs. Cavaliersbasketball · moneyline | Cavaliers | won | 77¢ · -335 | $35 | +10 |
| 2026-04-29 | Magic vs. Pistonsbasketball · moneyline | Pistons | won | 78¢ · -355 | $35 | +10 |
| 2026-04-28 | Ducks vs. Oilershockey · moneyline | Oilers | won | 61¢ · -156 | $30 | +18 |
| 2026-04-28 | Trail Blazers vs. Spursbasketball · moneyline | Spurs | won | 84¢ · -525 | $35 | +6 |
| 2026-04-28 | 76ers vs. Celticsbasketball · moneyline | Celtics | lost | 83¢ · -488 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-04-27 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $30 | — |
| 2026-04-27 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 50¢ · -100 | $35 | — |
| 2026-04-27 | Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbasketball · moneyline | Nuggets | won | 81¢ · -426 | $40 | +9 |
| 2026-04-27 | Thunder vs. Sunsbasketball · moneyline | Thunder | won | 81¢ · -426 | $40 | +9 |
| 2026-04-24 | Lakers vs. Rocketsbasketball · moneyline | Rockets | lost | 73¢ · -270 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-04-24 | Celtics vs. 76ersbasketball · moneyline | Celtics | won | 73¢ · -270 | $35 | +12 |
| 2026-04-22 | Ducks vs. Oilershockey · moneyline | Oilers | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-04-22 | Magic vs. Pistonsbasketball · moneyline | Pistons | won | 78¢ · -355 | $35 | +9 |
| 2026-04-21 | Kings vs. Avalanchehockey · moneyline | Avalanche | won | 71¢ · -245 | $35 | +13 |
| 2026-04-21 | Rockets vs. Lakersbasketball · moneyline | Rockets | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-04-21 | Trail Blazers vs. Spursbasketball · moneyline | Spurs | lost | 85¢ · -567 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-04-20 | Ducks vs. Oilershockey · moneyline | Oilers | won | 62¢ · -163 | $30 | +17 |
| 2026-04-20 | Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbasketball · moneyline | Nuggets | lost | 71¢ · -245 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-04-20 | Hawks vs. Knicksbasketball · moneyline | Knicks | lost | 69¢ · -223 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-04-20 | Raptors vs. Cavaliersbasketball · moneyline | Cavaliers | won | 77¢ · -335 | $35 | +10 |
| 2026-04-20 | ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandsoccer · moneyline | Bangladesh | won | 72¢ · -257 | $35 | +13 |
| 2026-04-16 | Canucks vs. Oilershockey · moneyline | Oilers | won | 73¢ · -270 | $40 | +15 |
| 2026-04-16 | Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbasketball · moneyline | Nuggets | won | 70¢ · -233 | $35 | +14 |
| 2026-04-16 | Raptors vs. Cavaliersbasketball · moneyline | Cavaliers | won | 78¢ · -355 | $35 | +9 |
| 2026-04-15 | Magic vs. 76ersbasketball · moneyline | 76ers | won | 54¢ · -117 | $25 | +20 |