Public evidence record

0xacf8…e791

0xacf8383491688a61a0e4dbba060122ba031be791

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.5%662 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+3.0%$1,028,047 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.89%211 pre-event fills

Settlement record

210-370Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−44.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 662 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.7% to +3.8%

662 closed positions · 1,230 taker fills · $1,028,047 deployed

Typical position $1,048 (median) · closing line value measured over 211 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis442 closed138–257-7.3%
Baseball99 closed34–50+0.1%
Basketball86 closed23–49-5.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 87 sports · 13 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-15	Santa Cruz 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Carlos Maria Zaratetennis · moneyline	Carlos Maria Zarate	lost	10¢ · +873	$318	−318
2026-10-15	Rovereto: Antonia Ruzic vs Bianca Andreescutennis · moneyline	Antonia Ruzic	lost	36¢ · +178	$756	−439
2026-10-15	Maia: Matej Dodig vs Lukas Neumayertennis · moneyline	Lukas Neumayer	lost	34¢ · +190	$1,986	−1,237
2026-10-15	Maia: Tristan Boyer vs Vilius Gaubas