Public evidence record

0xad88…3c1e

0xad8828df46f40d377468a325c9f8d5f914363c1e

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 15, 2026

Source sync: Oct 14, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.2%1,231 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.0%$229,882 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.43%1,077 pre-event fills

Settlement record

434-588-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−36.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,231 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.5% to +4.0%

1,231 closed positions · 1,907 taker fills · $229,882 deployed

Typical position $200 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,077 pre-event fills · 25% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball484 closed215–218+3.2%
Tennis278 closed46–135–4-5.6%
Football209 closed102–96-5.1%
Basketball202 closed50–108-4.8%
Hockey54 closed21–27-3.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-13	Spread: Rams (-3.5)football · spreads	Bills	won	53¢ · -113	$215	+185
2026-10-11	Spread: Falcons (-3.5)football · spreads	Falcons	lost	48¢ · +108	$341	−341
2026-10-11	49ers vs. Seahawksfootball · moneyline	49ers	won	52¢ · -109	$304	+270
2026-10-11	Raiders vs. Patriotsfootball · moneyline