Public evidence record

Cantoso

0xae3019240d91c59c779299308ea20f4520cf079e

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-8.4%967 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-7.0%$1,148,133 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.62%525 pre-event fills

Settlement record

365-495-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−75.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 967 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.9% to -3.0%

967 closed positions · 1,935 taker fills · $1,148,133 deployed

Typical position $936 (median) · closing line value measured over 525 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis481 closed177–248–1-7.1%
Esports199 closed79–108–1-9.4%
Baseball97 closed39–40-2.7%
Basketball97 closed35–51-10.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-27	Chargers vs. Billsfootball · moneyline	Chargers	lost	51¢ · -104	$700	−700
2026-09-27	Panthers vs. Brownsfootball · moneyline	Panthers	lost	54¢ · -117	$1,250	−1,250
2026-09-27	Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Coleman Wong (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap	Coleman Wong	won	45¢ · +125	$894	+1,058
2026-09-27	Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Julia Grabhertennis · moneyline	Guiomar Maristany	lost	50¢ · -100