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Public evidence record
0xae51b9a6f65dc780b2ac74d9b8f42259b5b30d08
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-4.3%545 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
+2.1%$103,721 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-4.71%213 pre-event fillsSettlement record
87-323Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−33.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 545 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.3% to +4.7%
545 closed positions · 925 taker fills · $103,721 deployed
Typical position $150 (median) · closing line value measured over 213 pre-event fills · 5% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 92 sports · 8 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-12 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 13.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-12 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Seattle Mariners | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-09-12 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves |
| Atlanta Braves |
| won |
| 37¢ · +170 |
| $62 |
| +100 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: Washington Nationals — Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals + Detroit Tigers — Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers + Toronto Blue Jays — Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays + New York Yankees — New York Mets vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · combo | — | lost | 11¢ · +773 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-09-12 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Philadelphia Phillies | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $58 | −58 |
| 2026-09-12 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Seattle Mariners | exited | 40¢ · +150 | $82 | −25 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: Los Angeles Dodgers — Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) + New York Yankees — New York Mets vs. New York Yankees + Boston Red Sox — Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · combo | — | lost | 20¢ · +411 | $80 | −80 |
| 2026-09-12 | Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Kansas City Royals | won | 68¢ · -212 | $100 | +45 |
| 2026-09-11 | Combo: No — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals + No — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers + No — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees + No — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · combo | — | lost | 8¢ · +1088 | $50 | −31 |
| 2026-09-11 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigersbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 54¢ · -117 | $26 | +20 |
| 2026-09-11 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationalsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-09-11 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 57¢ · -133 | $51 | +37 |
| 2026-09-11 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5baseball · totals | Over | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $108 | +101 |
| 2026-09-11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 2¢ · +4900 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-11 | 49ers vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline | Rams | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $57 | −57 |
| 2026-09-11 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · moneyline | Chicago White Sox | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-10 | Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Chicago White Sox | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $54 | −54 |
| 2026-09-10 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Cincinnati Reds | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $54 | −54 |
| 2026-09-10 | Combo: Boston Red Sox — Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) + New York Yankees — Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)baseball · combo | — | lost | 16¢ · +518 | $54 | −54 |
| 2026-09-10 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals · Spread Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Arizona Diamondbacks | lost | 27¢ · +270 | $109 | −109 |
| 2026-09-10 | Combo: Philadelphia Phillies — Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies + Cleveland Guardians — Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) + Boston Red Sox — Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)baseball · combo | — | lost | 11¢ · +773 | $61 | −61 |
| 2026-09-09 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Boston Red Sox | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-09 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread San Diego Padres (-1.5)baseball · spreads | San Diego Padres | exited | 57¢ · -130 | $61 | +45 |
| 2026-09-09 | Combo: Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics + San Diego Padres — Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres + Boston Red Sox — Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)baseball · combo | — | lost | 21¢ · +381 | $78 | −78 |
| 2026-09-09 | FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam · Spread FC Barcelona (-3.5)soccer · spreads | FC Barcelona | won | 50¢ · -100 | $6 | +6 |
| 2026-09-09 | Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Toronto Blue Jays | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-09 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Cincinnati Reds | won | 53¢ · -113 | $42 | +35 |
| 2026-09-09 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Cincinnati Reds | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-09 | Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Toronto Blue Jays | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $54 | +40 |
| 2026-09-09 | Combo: Boston Red Sox — Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) + New York Yankees — Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)baseball · combo | — | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $58 | −58 |
| 2026-09-09 | Combo: New York Yankees — Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) + Boston Red Sox — Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)baseball · combo | — | lost | 27¢ · +271 | $84 | −84 |
| 2026-09-08 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsentennis · moneyline | Frances Tiafoe | won | 44¢ · +129 | $26 | +32 |
| 2026-09-07 | Freddie Freeman: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 3.5baseball · baseball player hits runs rbis | Over | lost | 22¢ · +358 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-09-07 | Freddie Freeman: Hits O/U 2.5baseball · baseball player hits | Over | lost | 7¢ · +1297 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-09-07 | Freddie Freeman: Total Bases O/U 3.5baseball · baseball player total bases | Over | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-09-06 | Combo: Milwaukee Brewers — Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) + Pittsburgh Pirates — Los Angeles Angels vs. Pittsburgh Pirates + Seattle Mariners — Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · combo | — | lost | 20¢ · +401 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-09-06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-09-06 | Combo: Los Angeles Dodgers — Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers + Seattle Mariners — Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · combo | — | lost | 22¢ · +350 | $75 | −75 |
| 2026-09-06 | Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 48¢ · +108 | $51 | +53 |
| 2026-09-06 | Combo: Yes — Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) + Yes — Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)baseball · combo | — | exited | 14¢ · +594 | $88 | +493 |
| 2026-09-06 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)baseball · spreads | San Diego Padres | lost | 11¢ · +788 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-05 | Combo: Over — Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 + Chicago Cubs — Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)baseball · combo | — | lost | 23¢ · +332 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-05 | Combo: Yes — Will Salahdine Parnasse win by KO or TKO? + Yes — Will Farés Ziam win by KO or TKO?mma · combo | — | lost | 12¢ · +742 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-05 | Will Salahdine Parnasse win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | won | 54¢ · -117 | $49 | +39 |
| 2026-09-05 | Pete Crow-Armstrong: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 2.5baseball · baseball player hits runs rbis | Over | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $68 | −68 |
| 2026-09-05 | Will Losene Keita win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | won | 51¢ · -103 | $36 | +33 |
| 2026-09-05 | Will Mario Pinto win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | won | 55¢ · -122 | $51 | +39 |
| 2026-09-05 | Will Oumar Sy win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-09-05 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 31¢ · +225 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-09-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 28¢ · +253 | $26 | +61 |
| 2026-09-05 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Chicago Cubs (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Chicago Cubs | lost | 46¢ · +119 | $72 | −10 |
| 2026-09-05 | Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · moneyline | Seattle Mariners | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-05 | Combo: Over — Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 + New York Yankees — Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) + Over — New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5baseball · combo | — | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $60 | −60 |
| 2026-09-05 | Ben Rice: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 3.5baseball · baseball player hits runs rbis | Over | won | 21¢ · +373 | $50 | +178 |
| 2026-09-04 | Combo: St. Louis Cardinals — Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) + Seattle Mariners — Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)baseball · combo | — | lost | 10¢ · +943 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-04 | Combo: Over — Junior Caminero: Home Runs O/U 0.5 + Over — Julio Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 0.5baseball · combo | — | lost | 4¢ · +2420 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-04 | Enrique Hernández: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 3.5baseball · baseball player hits runs rbis | Over | lost | 15¢ · +557 | $41 | −41 |
| 2026-09-04 | Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)baseball · spreads | St. Louis Cardinals | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $104 | −13 |
| 2026-09-04 | Freddie Freeman: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 3.5baseball · baseball player hits runs rbis | Over | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-09-04 | Pete Crow-Armstrong: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 2.5baseball · baseball player hits runs rbis | Over | won | 36¢ · +178 | $52 | +87 |
| 2026-09-04 | Combo: Boston Red Sox — Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) + Over — Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 + Milwaukee Brewers — Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)baseball · combo | — | lost | 11¢ · +818 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-07-23 | Combo: Los Angeles Dodgers — Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies + Boston Red Sox — Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · combo | — | won | 26¢ · +286 | $223 | −30 |
| 2026-07-22 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals | lost | 11¢ · +840 | $307 | −307 |
| 2026-07-22 | Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 38¢ · +163 | $122 | +186 |
| 2026-07-21 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $119 | −119 |
| 2026-07-21 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 53¢ · -114 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-07-21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $78 | −78 |
| 2026-07-21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $105 | −105 |
| 2026-07-19 | Combo: Over — Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 + Over — Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 + Detroit Tigers — Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)baseball · combo | — | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $59 | −59 |
| 2026-07-19 | Combo: Kamaru Usman — UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) + Boston Red Sox — Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox + Over — Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5 + Detroit Tigers — Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)multi sport · combo | — | lost | 8¢ · +1101 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-07-17 | Combo: Over — Bryce Harper: Home Runs O/U 1.5 + Over — Juan Soto: Home Runs O/U 1.5baseball · combo | — | lost | 1¢ · +9900 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-07-17 | Combo: Over — Bryce Harper: Home Runs O/U 0.5 + Over — Kyle Schwarber: Home Runs O/U 1.5 + Over — Juan Soto: Home Runs O/U 0.5baseball · combo | — | lost | 1¢ · +9900 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-07-17 | Combo: Over — Bryce Harper: Home Runs O/U 0.5 + Philadelphia Phillies — New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies + Over — Kyle Schwarber: Home Runs O/U 0.5baseball · combo | — | lost | 9¢ · +964 | $55 | −55 |
| 2026-07-15 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | England | lost | 53¢ · -115 | $162 | −162 |
| 2026-07-14 | Combo: Yes — France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score + France — France vs. Spain: Team to Advancesoccer · combo | — | lost | 10¢ · +924 | $22 | −22 |
| 2026-07-14 | Will France win on 2026-07-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +13270 | $49 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 16¢ · +525 | $59 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $52 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1371 | $105 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | Combo: Over — Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 + Yes — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers + Yes — Los Angeles Dodgers winning after 5 innings?baseball · combo | — | lost | 14¢ · +625 | $220 | −220 |
| 2026-07-09 | Combo: Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants + Atlanta Braves — Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) + New York Yankees — Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)baseball · combo | — | lost | 7¢ · +1308 | $219 | −219 |
| 2026-07-09 | Combo: Atlanta Braves — Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) + Tampa Bay Rays — New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · combo | — | exited | 20¢ · +390 | $219 | +802 |
| 2026-06-24 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Cleveland Guardians | lost | 25¢ · +300 | $92 | −92 |
| 2026-06-24 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · moneyline | Chicago White Sox | exited | 64¢ · -178 | $109 | −23 |
| 2026-06-24 | Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $306 | — |
| 2026-06-24 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 14¢ · +617 | $256 | −256 |
| 2026-06-24 | Spread: Athletics (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Athletics | lost | 23¢ · +335 | $122 | −122 |
| 2026-06-20 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 16¢ · +525 | $285 | −285 |
| 2026-06-20 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Athletics (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Athletics | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $111 | −111 |
| 2026-06-19 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Chicago White Sox (-3.5)baseball · spreads | Chicago White Sox | lost | 17¢ · +495 | $113 | −113 |
| 2026-06-19 | Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Toronto Blue Jays | lost | 35¢ · +183 | $145 | −145 |
| 2026-06-19 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 56¢ · -130 | $76 | +57 |
| 2026-06-19 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Athletics (-3.5)baseball · spreads | Athletics | exited | 35¢ · +186 | $360 | +647 |
| 2026-06-19 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Chicago White Sox (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Chicago White Sox | exited | 30¢ · +233 | $112 | +249 |
| 2026-06-18 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Chicago White Sox (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Chicago White Sox | lost | 18¢ · +461 | $218 | −218 |
| 2026-06-17 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 34¢ · +190 | $428 | −225 |
| 2026-06-17 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $111 | −111 |