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Public evidence record
0xaf3bbbee4f616435dbe0c1bb33e2c6d0f2909035
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
+0.3%800 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
+3.2%$75,830 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
+3.40%56 pre-event fillsSettlement record
512-281-7Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−21.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 800 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.2% to +5.8%
800 closed positions · 1,601 taker fills · $75,830 deployed
Typical position $52 (median) · closing line value measured over 56 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Will Louisville City FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 86¢ · -614 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Fort Wayne FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinatennis · moneyline | Aryna Sabalenka | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-12 | Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Matej Dodigtennis · moneyline | Matej Dodig | lost | 54¢ · -117 |
| $51 |
| −51 |
| 2026-09-12 | Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #9 Group Desports · moneyline | Bushido Wildcats | won | 75¢ · -300 | $6 | +2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Racing Club Montevideo vs. CA Boston River end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 77¢ · -335 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Antalya 4: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Alicia Herrero Linanatennis · moneyline | Alevtina Ibragimova | won | 68¢ · -212 | $51 | +23 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will BG Pathum United win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Antalya 4: Rositsa Dencheva vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelatennis · moneyline | Irene Burillo Escorihuela | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 82¢ · -456 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsesports · moneyline | Anyone's Legend | won | 47¢ · +113 | $51 | +55 |
| 2026-09-12 | Game Handicap · Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?esports · kill over under game | Under | won | 34¢ · +194 | $52 | +95 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Yuta Shimizutennis · moneyline | Arthur Weber | won | 67¢ · -203 | $51 | +24 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-11?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 48¢ · +108 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will New Mexico United win on 2026-09-11?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 59¢ · -144 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-09-11?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 46¢ · +115 | $56 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anna Blinkovatennis · moneyline | Anna Blinkova | won | 82¢ · -456 | $50 | +11 |
| 2026-09-11 | Alexander Zverev vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 3.5tennis · tennis set totals | Under 3.5 | won | 66¢ · -194 | $51 | +25 |
| 2026-09-11 | Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Khachanov (+2.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Khachanov | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-11 | Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group Desports · moneyline | 1WIN | won | 80¢ · -400 | $51 | +12 |
| 2026-09-11 | Will Galway United FC win on 2026-09-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffsesports · moneyline | Natus Vincere | won | 67¢ · -203 | $51 | +24 |
| 2026-09-11 | Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group Desports · moneyline | NIP | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-11 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group Cesports · moneyline | 100 Thieves | won | 42¢ · +138 | $51 | +68 |
| 2026-09-11 | Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Wildcard (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group Besports · moneyline | Team Nemesis | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-11 | Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Wildcard (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group Besports · moneyline | Wildcard | won | 59¢ · -144 | $51 | +34 |
| 2026-09-11 | Game Handicap · Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?esports · kill over under game | Over | won | 50¢ · -100 | $51 | +49 |
| 2026-09-11 | Phan Thiet 3: Cruz Hewitt vs Max Purcelltennis · moneyline | Max Purcell | won | 88¢ · -733 | $50 | +7 |
| 2026-09-11 | LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsesports · moneyline | Maryville University | won | 83¢ · -488 | $50 | +10 |
| 2026-09-10 | LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsesports · moneyline | Winthrop University | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-10 | Montreux: Simona Waltert vs Despina Papamichailtennis · moneyline | Simona Waltert | won | 64¢ · -176 | $102 | +55 |
| 2026-09-10 | Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | won | 54¢ · -117 | $51 | +41 |
| 2026-09-10 | Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsesports · moneyline | megoshort | lost | 46¢ · +115 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-10 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs BBL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group Cesports · moneyline | 3DMAX | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-10 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs BBL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group Cesports · moneyline | BBL | won | 41¢ · +142 | $103 | +140 |
| 2026-09-10 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Klim Sani4 (BO5) - EPL Masters Playoffsesports · moneyline | Klim Sani4 | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-10 | Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group Besports · moneyline | EYEBALLERS | lost | 82¢ · -456 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-10 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group Aesports · moneyline | Astralis | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-10 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group Aesports · moneyline | 5star | won | 27¢ · +270 | $52 | +133 |
| 2026-09-10 | Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5)esports · map handicap | 5star | won | 63¢ · -170 | $51 | +28 |
| 2026-09-10 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap · Games Total: O/U 2.5esports · totals | Under | lost | 72¢ · -257 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-10 | Counter-Strike: 9z vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group Aesports · moneyline | G2 | won | 58¢ · -138 | $51 | +35 |
| 2026-09-10 | Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-09-09?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 89¢ · -809 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-09?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 57¢ · -133 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-09?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 64¢ · -178 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs Klim Sani4 (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffsesports · moneyline | Klim Sani4 | won | 55¢ · -122 | $204 | +160 |
| 2026-09-09 | Set Handicap: Khachanov (-2.5) vs Blockx (+2.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Khachanov | push | 65¢ · -186 | $51 | −12 |
| 2026-09-09 | Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)esports · map handicap | NRG Esports | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-09 | FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam · Spread FC Barcelona (-2.5)soccer · spreads | FC Barcelona | won | 84¢ · -525 | $20 | +4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsesports · moneyline | Fire Flux Esports | won | 50¢ · -100 | $51 | +49 |
| 2026-09-08 | Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+1.5)esports · map handicap | Dplus KIA Challengers | won | 32¢ · +212 | $39 | +78 |
| 2026-09-08 | Phan Thiet 3: Aditya Balsekar vs Yuta Shimizutennis · moneyline | Yuta Shimizu | won | 85¢ · -567 | $50 | +8 |
| 2026-09-08 | Phan Thiet 3: Benjamin O'Connell vs Blake Ellistennis · moneyline | Blake Ellis | won | 76¢ · -312 | $202 | +62 |
| 2026-09-08 | Phan Thiet 3: Tai Sach vs Thanh Minh Truongtennis · moneyline | Tai Sach | won | 95¢ · -1787 | $50 | +3 |
| 2026-09-08 | Phan Thiet 3: Florent Bax vs Maximus Jonestennis · moneyline | Maximus Jones | won | 84¢ · -525 | $50 | +9 |
| 2026-09-07 | Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Khachanov (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Khachanov | won | 62¢ · -163 | $51 | +30 |
| 2026-09-07 | Seville: Petr Brunclik vs Alejandro Moro Canastennis · moneyline | Alejandro Moro Canas | won | 58¢ · -138 | $51 | +35 |
| 2026-09-07 | Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowskitennis · moneyline | Maks Kasnikowski | won | 78¢ · -355 | $51 | +14 |
| 2026-09-07 | Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelatennis · moneyline | Irene Burillo Escorihuela | won | 50¢ · -100 | $51 | +49 |
| 2026-09-07 | Tulln: Matias Soto vs Sandro Kopptennis · moneyline | Matias Soto | won | 77¢ · -335 | $51 | +14 |
| 2026-09-07 | Antalya 4: Mia Ristic vs Lina Gjorcheskatennis · moneyline | Lina Gjorcheska | won | 72¢ · -261 | $152 | +55 |
| 2026-09-07 | Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Cezar Cretutennis · moneyline | Harold Mayot | won | 75¢ · -300 | $51 | +16 |
| 2026-09-07 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffsesports · moneyline | Natus Vincere | won | 90¢ · -900 | $100 | +11 |
| 2026-09-07 | Phan Thiet 3: Cruz Hewitt vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminetennis · moneyline | Cruz Hewitt | won | 83¢ · -485 | $50 | +10 |
| 2026-09-07 | Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palantennis · moneyline | Hiroki Moriya | won | 55¢ · -122 | $51 | +40 |
| 2026-09-06 | Daniil Medvedev vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 3.5tennis · tennis set totals | Over 3.5 | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-06 | Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Galorys (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Playoffsesports · moneyline | Galorys | won | 62¢ · -163 | $51 | +30 |
| 2026-09-06 | Set Handicap: Michelsen (-2.5) vs Etcheverry (+2.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Etcheverry | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-06 | Set Handicap: Michelsen (-2.5) vs Etcheverry (+2.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Michelsen | won | 45¢ · +122 | $51 | +60 |
| 2026-09-06 | Counter-Strike: Galorys vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Playoffsesports · moneyline | Galorys | won | 81¢ · -426 | $50 | +11 |
| 2026-09-06 | Will Al Wahda FC (UAE) win on 2026-09-06?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stageesports · moneyline | SPARTA | won | 45¢ · +122 | $51 | +60 |
| 2026-09-06 | Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Townsend (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Sabalenka | won | 90¢ · -900 | $50 | +5 |
| 2026-09-06 | Kaizer Chiefs vs. Siwelele FC · Spread Kaizer Chiefs (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Kaizer Chiefs | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-06 | Kaizer Chiefs vs. Siwelele FC · Spread Kaizer Chiefs (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Siwelele FC | won | 41¢ · +144 | $51 | +70 |
| 2026-09-06 | Will Breidablik Kopavogur win on 2026-09-06?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $52 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)esports · map handicap | MOUZ | won | 78¢ · -351 | $51 | +14 |
| 2026-09-06 | LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsesports · moneyline | Ninjas in Pyjamas | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-06 | Game Handicap · Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 5?esports · kill over under game | Under | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-06 | LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsesports · moneyline | LGD Gaming | won | 56¢ · -127 | $51 | +38 |
| 2026-09-06 | US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tientennis · moneyline | Learner Tien | won | 51¢ · -103 | $102 | +95 |
| 2026-09-06 | US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tientennis · moneyline | Jakub Mensik | lost | 73¢ · -270 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-06 | Will New Mexico United win on 2026-09-05?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 66¢ · -198 | $38 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | Will Monterey Bay FC win on 2026-09-05?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-04 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 49¢ · +104 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchovatennis · moneyline | Karolina Muchova | lost | 70¢ · -233 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-04 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffsesports · moneyline | Vitality | won | 62¢ · -163 | $51 | +30 |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Diana Shnaidertennis · moneyline | Diana Shnaider | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-04 | Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Alcaraz | won | 60¢ · -150 | $51 | +32 |
| 2026-09-04 | Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-09-04?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 59¢ · -144 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-04 | Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Medvedev | won | 47¢ · +113 | $103 | +110 |
| 2026-09-04 | Como: Max Schoenhaus vs Matej Dodigtennis · moneyline | Max Schoenhaus | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-04 | Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Alexandrova (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Alexandrova | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $91 | −91 |
| 2026-09-04 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsesports · moneyline | LGD Gaming | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-04 | Zhangjiagang: Kasidit Samrej vs Enzo Aguiardtennis · moneyline | Kasidit Samrej | won | 67¢ · -208 | $102 | +47 |
| 2026-09-04 | Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap | Maneiro | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-04 | LoL: Maryville University vs Contingent Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsesports · moneyline | Maryville University | won | 86¢ · -599 | $50 | +8 |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gaufftennis · moneyline | Paula Badosa | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-09-04 | Botic van de Zandschulp vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 3.5tennis · tennis set totals | Over 3.5 | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $51 | −51 |