Public evidence record

cckkll

0xaf5b0c76218bb6ee34e43d0459106b5d04ea5d3a

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.0%555 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.8%$164,993 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.11%321 pre-event fills

Settlement record

389-152Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−24.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 555 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.6% to +2.6%

555 closed positions · 682 taker fills · $164,993 deployed

Typical position $302 (median) · closing line value measured over 321 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$5

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes

entry 14¢ · +615now 4¢ · +2567−10.2 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer386 closed276–97-2.0%
Baseball73 closed44–29-7.4%
Basketball53 closed39–14-0.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-06	Málaga CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5soccer · totals	Over	lost	75¢ · -299	$101	−101
2026-08-31	Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals	Over	lost	65¢ · -186	$41	−41
2026-08-17	Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5soccer · totals	Over	won	77¢ · -335	$51	+14
2026-08-17	CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5soccer · totals