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Public evidence record
0xaf9f43cd760492b6fb0853e4d79d7fcf1314f6a3
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-7.3%696 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-5.7%$446,541 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-2.05%526 pre-event fillsSettlement record
318-353Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−44.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 696 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.9% to -0.7%
696 closed positions · 882 taker fills · $446,541 deployed
Typical position $486 (median) · closing line value measured over 526 pre-event fills · 60% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Combo: Vikings — Vikings vs. Buccaneers + Saints — Raiders vs. Saintsfootball · combo | — | lost | 47¢ · +112 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-27 | Combo: Jaguars — Patriots vs. Jaguars + Panthers — Panthers vs. Brownsfootball · combo | — | lost | 33¢ · +199 | $353 | −353 |
| 2026-09-27 | Oregon vs. USCfootball · moneyline | USC | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $350 | −350 |
| 2026-09-25 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NRG (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Group A |
| Liquid |
| won |
| 55¢ · -122 |
| $92 |
| +72 |
| 2026-09-25 | Northwestern vs. Indiana · Spread Indiana (-18.5)football · spreads | Indiana | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $447 | −447 |
| 2026-09-25 | Combo: Yes — Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs + Yes — Counter-Strike: M80 vs BESTIA (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN Group Besports · combo | — | exited | 48¢ · +109 | $225 | +233 |
| 2026-09-25 | Games Total: O/U 2.5esports · totals | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $123 | −123 |
| 2026-09-25 | Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffsesports · moneyline | JiJieHao | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $474 | −474 |
| 2026-09-25 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN Group Aesports · moneyline | Chicken Coop Esports | lost | 5¢ · +1900 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-25 | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffsesports · moneyline | Heroic | won | 61¢ · -156 | $351 | +213 |
| 2026-09-25 | Spread: Packers (-3.5)football · spreads | Falcons | won | 60¢ · -150 | $744 | +496 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Over — Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 + Panthers — Panthers vs. Falcons + Texans — Bengals vs. Texansfootball · combo | — | lost | 20¢ · +395 | $486 | −486 |
| 2026-09-19 | LSU vs. Ole Miss: O/U 58.5football · totals | Over | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $1,033 | −1,033 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $1,357 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Buccaneers vs. Bengalsfootball · moneyline | Buccaneers | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $247 | −247 |
| 2026-09-10 | Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $808 | −808 |
| 2026-09-10 | De'Zhaun Stribling: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 21¢ · +381 | $260 | −260 |
| 2026-09-10 | Brock Purdy: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +581 | $153 | −153 |
| 2026-09-10 | Spread: Rams (-3.5)football · spreads | 49ers | won | 50¢ · -100 | $1,025 | +975 |
| 2026-09-10 | Patriots vs. Seahawksfootball · moneyline | Seahawks | won | 48¢ · +108 | $3,078 | +3,172 |
| 2026-09-09 | Jadarian Price: 2+ Touchdownsfootball · two plus touchdowns | Yes | lost | 10¢ · +901 | $94 | −94 |
| 2026-09-09 | Jadarian Price: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 41¢ · +141 | $1,330 | −1,330 |
| 2026-09-09 | Sam Darnold: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 10¢ · +906 | $254 | −254 |
| 2026-09-09 | Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $274 | −274 |
| 2026-09-08 | SMU vs. Florida Statefootball · moneyline | Florida State | lost | 46¢ · +120 | $5,243 | −5,243 |
| 2026-09-08 | SMU vs. Florida Statefootball · moneyline | SMU | won | 58¢ · -138 | $2,390 | −139 |
| 2026-09-05 | Boise State vs. Oregonfootball · moneyline | Boise State | lost | 36¢ · +181 | $1,001 | −1,001 |
| 2026-09-05 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffsesports · moneyline | Team Falcons | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $1,187 | −1,187 |
| 2026-09-05 | Toledo vs. Michigan Statefootball · moneyline | Toledo | lost | 14¢ · +614 | $156 | −156 |
| 2026-09-04 | Fresno State vs. USC · Spread USC (-21.5)football · spreads | USC | won | 50¢ · -100 | $281 | +267 |
| 2026-09-04 | San Jose State vs. Eastern Michigan · Spread Eastern Michigan (-1.5)football · spreads | San Jose State | won | 50¢ · -100 | $410 | +390 |
| 2026-09-04 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffsesports · moneyline | Vitality | won | 62¢ · -163 | $1,019 | +593 |
| 2026-09-04 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Vitality | won | 55¢ · -122 | $1,984 | +1,542 |
| 2026-08-31 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Besports · moneyline | Team Falcons | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $455 | −455 |
| 2026-08-30 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Besports · moneyline | Legacy | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $243 | −243 |
| 2026-08-30 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)esports · map handicap | Legacy | won | 55¢ · -122 | $256 | +199 |
| 2026-08-30 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Aesports · moneyline | G2 | won | 48¢ · +108 | $511 | +527 |
| 2026-08-30 | Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin'football · moneyline | UNLV Runnin' | lost | 58¢ · -137 | $306 | −306 |
| 2026-08-30 | Hawaii vs. Stanfordfootball · moneyline | Hawaii | lost | 31¢ · +219 | $430 | −383 |
| 2026-08-29 | Hawaii vs. Stanford: O/U 45.5football · totals | Over | won | 59¢ · -142 | $487 | +331 |
| 2026-08-29 | North Carolina vs. TCUfootball · moneyline | North Carolina | won | 28¢ · +257 | $207 | +507 |
| 2026-08-29 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)esports · map handicap | 9z | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $513 | −513 |
| 2026-08-29 | Portland Fire vs. Atlanta Dreambasketball · moneyline | Portland Fire | won | 56¢ · -129 | $498 | +367 |
| 2026-08-28 | Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercurybasketball · moneyline | Washington Mystics | won | 67¢ · -203 | $399 | +187 |
| 2026-08-28 | Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)basketball · spreads | Golden State Valkyries | won | 56¢ · -127 | $492 | +367 |
| 2026-08-27 | Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 19.5basketball · points | Yes | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $308 | −308 |
| 2026-08-27 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $198 | −198 |
| 2026-08-26 | Combo: Chicago Sky — Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun + Dallas Wings — Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wingsbasketball · combo | — | lost | 57¢ · -130 | $500 | −500 |
| 2026-08-24 | Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)basketball · spreads | Golden State Valkyries | won | 52¢ · -108 | $293 | +257 |
| 2026-08-24 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbasketball · moneyline | Golden State Valkyries | won | 33¢ · +203 | $207 | +399 |
| 2026-08-23 | Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybasketball · moneyline | Indiana Fever | won | 56¢ · -127 | $585 | +437 |
| 2026-08-23 | Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.5basketball · points | Yes | won | 58¢ · -138 | $347 | +239 |
| 2026-08-22 | Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybasketball · moneyline | New York Liberty | won | 58¢ · -138 | $472 | +325 |
| 2026-08-22 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsesports · moneyline | FUT Esports | won | 68¢ · -211 | $106 | +48 |
| 2026-08-21 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbasketball · moneyline | Minnesota Lynx | won | 55¢ · -122 | $361 | +281 |
| 2026-08-21 | Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbaseball · moneyline | Detroit Tigers | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $256 | −256 |
| 2026-08-21 | Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)basketball · spreads | Toronto Tempo | won | 50¢ · -100 | $136 | +129 |
| 2026-08-21 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Vitality | won | 57¢ · -133 | $450 | +323 |
| 2026-08-21 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsesports · moneyline | Spirit | won | 60¢ · -153 | $497 | +309 |
| 2026-08-21 | Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbasketball · moneyline | Dallas Wings | won | 40¢ · +150 | $994 | +1,418 |
| 2026-08-18 | Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)esports · map handicap | Legacy | won | 60¢ · -150 | $306 | +194 |
| 2026-08-18 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsesports · moneyline | FaZe | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $208 | −208 |
| 2026-08-18 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)esports · map handicap | FaZe | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $1,023 | −1,023 |
| 2026-08-18 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsesports · moneyline | magic | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $310 | −310 |
| 2026-08-18 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sunbasketball · moneyline | Los Angeles Sparks | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $358 | −358 |
| 2026-08-16 | Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambasketball · moneyline | Atlanta Dream | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $217 | −217 |
| 2026-08-15 | Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)esports · map handicap | TheMongolz | won | 57¢ · -133 | $283 | +203 |
| 2026-08-15 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Desports · moneyline | 9z | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $404 | −404 |
| 2026-08-14 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)esports · map handicap | B8 | won | 37¢ · +171 | $353 | +574 |
| 2026-08-06 | Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbasketball · moneyline | Dallas Wings | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $983 | −983 |
| 2026-08-01 | Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)esports · map handicap | FaZe | won | 45¢ · +122 | $445 | +518 |
| 2026-08-01 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsesports · moneyline | FaZe | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $156 | −156 |
| 2026-07-31 | Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbasketball · moneyline | Dallas Wings | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $1,046 | −1,046 |
| 2026-07-30 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempobasketball · moneyline | Toronto Tempo | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $160 | −160 |
| 2026-07-30 | Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)esports · map handicap | 3DMAX | won | 47¢ · +113 | $198 | +212 |
| 2026-07-30 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsesports · moneyline | 3DMAX | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $103 | −53 |
| 2026-07-21 | Combo: Minnesota Lynx — Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm + Golden State Valkyries — Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyriesbasketball · combo | — | lost | 54¢ · -116 | $265 | −265 |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?soccer · soccer penalty shootout | Yes | lost | 28¢ · +263 | $301 | −301 |
| 2026-07-19 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $290 | −290 |
| 2026-07-19 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wingsbasketball · moneyline | Dallas Wings | won | 64¢ · -180 | $1,175 | +621 |
| 2026-07-18 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | exited | 55¢ · -122 | $321 | −94 |
| 2026-07-17 | Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Playoffsesports · moneyline | Mindfreak | lost | 6¢ · +1718 | $57 | −57 |
| 2026-07-17 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)basketball · spreads | Toronto Tempo | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $197 | −197 |
| 2026-07-12 | Combo: Las Vegas Aces — Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces + New York Liberty — New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempobasketball · combo | — | lost | 47¢ · +114 | $500 | −500 |
| 2026-07-12 | Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbasketball · moneyline | Las Vegas Aces | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $585 | −585 |
| 2026-07-12 | New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempobasketball · moneyline | New York Liberty | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $483 | −483 |
| 2026-07-12 | Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsesports · moneyline | 9z | won | 50¢ · -100 | $803 | +763 |
| 2026-07-11 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $829 | −829 |
| 2026-07-11 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +788 | $261 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsesports · moneyline | PARIVISION | won | 62¢ · -163 | $334 | +195 |
| 2026-07-09 | Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsesports · moneyline | 9z | won | 58¢ · -138 | $203 | +142 |
| 2026-07-09 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsesports · moneyline | Alliance | won | 48¢ · +108 | $381 | +400 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybasketball · moneyline | Dallas Wings | won | 41¢ · +145 | $605 | +626 |
| 2026-07-07 | Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.5basketball · points | Yes | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $486 | −486 |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Colombia | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $671 | −671 |
| 2026-07-07 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | United States | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $816 | −816 |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Spain | won | 64¢ · -178 | $528 | +288 |
| 2026-07-06 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $510 | −510 |
| 2026-07-05 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | won | 44¢ · +126 | $803 | +985 |
| 2026-07-04 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | won | 64¢ · -177 | $325 | +179 |