Public evidence record

Carlos10

0xb00cf07e6fa25034175f7da649524c23b08fdfa2

Record anatomy

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Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.8%385 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.5%$494,708 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.24%219 pre-event fills

Settlement record

208-174-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−19.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 385 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.3% to +2.7%

385 closed positions · 543 taker fills · $494,708 deployed

Typical position $1,019 (median) · closing line value measured over 219 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

6 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$1052

Game Spread: Grigor Dimitrov (-3.5) vs Edas Butvilas (+3.5)

Grigor Dimitrov

entry 48¢ · +110now 50¢ · -100+2.5 pts

Open

value$867

Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria

Federico Coria

entry 49¢ · +104now 43¢ · +135−6.5 pts

Open

value$3969

San Diego 2: Ozan Baris vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Ozan Baris

entry 63¢ · -170now 63¢ · -167−0.5 pts

Open

value$2742

St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur

Clement Tabur

entry 53¢ · -113now 49¢ · +106

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis272 closed141–129–2-8.8%
Soccer89 closed53–35-0.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 92 sports · 8 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroskatennis · moneyline	Nadia Podoroska	lost	46¢ · +119	$1,335	−1,335
2026-09-21	St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Francesco Maestrellitennis · moneyline	Andrea Guerrieri	won	59¢ · -146	$2,245	+1,463
2026-09-21	Singapore Open: Storm Hunter vs Joanna Garlandtennis · moneyline	Joanna Garland	won	43¢ · +133	$2,057	+2,594
2026-09-21	Combo: Anouk Koevermans — Porto: Anouk Koevermans vs Ayana Akli + Mark Lajal — St. Tropez: David Goffin vs Mark Lajal

Carlos10

Know what this profile can prove.

Currently holding

Grigor Dimitrov

Federico Coria

Ozan Baris

Clement Tabur

By sport

Position log

Ozan Baris

Harold Mayot