Public evidence record

0xb01d…46f0

0xb01dd899c461a02273745d050c1cf8980edc46f0

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.7%6,962 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+1.7%$595,521 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-5.49%4,543 pre-event fills

Settlement record

4434-2329-24Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−138.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 6,962 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -3.8% to +0.4%

6,962 closed positions · 8,229 taker fills · $595,521 deployed

Typical position $54 (median) · closing line value measured over 4,543 pre-event fills · 13% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball3,288 closed2020–1170–11-3.4%
Soccer1,240 closed1052–172-1.5%
Basketball1,227 closed867–344+1.3%
Tennis521 closed200–275–6-4.5%
Esports352 closed137–202–7-5.1%
Hockey225 closed101–121+2.4%
Football103 closed55–42-4.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-18	Lions vs. Billsfootball · moneyline	Bills	won	94¢ · -1583	$2,342	+141
2026-09-17	Jakob Marsee: Total Bases O/U 3.5baseball · baseball player total bases	Over	won	99¢ · -9900	$62	+1
2026-09-17	Pavin Smith: Total Bases O/U 3.5baseball · baseball player total bases	Over	won	99¢ · -9900	$62	+1
2026-09-17	Pavin Smith: Total Bases O/U 2.5baseball · baseball player total bases	Over	won	99¢ · -9900