Public evidence record

.brain.

0xb1a1985278c50a25758e2e25a217d084706add34

Record anatomy

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Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.7%328 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.8%$65,957 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.85%103 pre-event fills

Settlement record

152-97-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−14.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 328 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.4% to +1.1%

328 closed positions · 717 taker fills · $65,957 deployed

Typical position $110 (median) · closing line value measured over 103 pre-event fills · 29% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

24 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$2

Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

No

entry 80¢ · -390now 2¢ · +5305−77.7 pts

Open

value$643

Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be at least 0.8%?

No

entry 78¢ · -354now 99¢+21.3 pts

Open

value$629

Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?

No

entry 74¢ · -278now 99¢+25.9 pts

Open

value$69

Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in August?

No

entry 84¢ · -525now 91¢ · -1011+7.0 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports269 closed124–79–1-4.7%
Soccer52 closed25–17-6.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 47 sports · 53 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline	Team Yandex	won	62¢ · -163	$306	+150
2026-09-21	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?Non-sports	No	exited	90¢ · -857	$35	—
2026-09-21	Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.6M in August?Non-sports	No	exited	91¢ · -975	$43	—
2026-09-21	Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winner

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Know what this profile can prove.

Currently holding

No

No

No

No

By sport

Position log

No

No

Yes

No

No

Yes

Mayweather

Yes

Yes

No

No

Yes

Yes

Yes

No

No

No

Yes

Yes

Yes