value$9
Spread: Heat (-4.5)
Hawks
Open
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Public evidence record
0xb1aad9392ed144ad577e2e55fb83c783e52e16cf
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-1.5%2,181 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-3.5%$183,478 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.03%1,757 pre-event fillsSettlement record
1610-542-9Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−113.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,181 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.0% to +0.9%
2,181 closed positions · 3,206 taker fills · $183,478 deployed
Typical position $50 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,757 pre-event fills · 3% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Spread: Heat (-4.5)
Spread: Pacers (-4.5)
Wizards vs. Cavaliers
Spurs vs. Jazz
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 83¢ · -503 | $40 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 75¢ · -300 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? |
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-29?
Rockets vs. Bucks
Spread: Arizona (-4.5)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
| No |
| won |
| 78¢ · -355 |
| $10 |
| — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 71¢ · -245 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Spread: Heat (-9.5)basketball · spreads | Warriors | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $20 | +2 |
| 2026-11-05 | Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoianatennis · moneyline | Sorana Cirstea | won | 78¢ · -355 | $20 | +5 |
| 2026-11-05 | Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefaninitennis · moneyline | Lucrezia Stefanini | won | 77¢ · -335 | $10 | +3 |
| 2026-11-05 | Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5football · totals | Over | won | 78¢ · -355 | $20 | +6 |
| 2026-11-05 | Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halystennis · moneyline | Tommy Paul | won | 89¢ · -809 | $101 | +12 |
| 2026-11-05 | Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Ealatennis · moneyline | Alexandra Eala | won | 80¢ · -400 | $20 | +5 |
| 2026-11-05 | Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayevatennis · moneyline | Mai Hontama | won | 72¢ · -257 | $20 | +7 |
| 2026-11-05 | Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-11-05?moneyline · Non-sports | No | won | 77¢ · -335 | $20 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraztennis · moneyline | Carlos Alcaraz | push | 83¢ · -488 | $101 | −42 |
| 2026-11-05 | Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmeztennis · moneyline | Zeynep Sonmez | won | 80¢ · -400 | $101 | +24 |
| 2026-11-05 | James Madison vs. Southern Missfootball · moneyline | James Madison | won | 84¢ · -525 | $30 | +6 |
| 2026-11-04 | Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garlandtennis · moneyline | Janice Tjen | won | 84¢ · -525 | $20 | +4 |
| 2026-11-04 | Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaurtennis · moneyline | Alex de Minaur | lost | 87¢ · -669 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-11-04 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 78¢ · -355 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 82¢ · -456 | $20 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 80¢ · -400 | $20 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Hawks vs. Wizards · Spread Wizards (-8.5)basketball · spreads | Hawks | won | 80¢ · -400 | $10 | +2 |
| 2026-11-04 | Jaguars vs. Ravensfootball · moneyline | Jaguars | won | 82¢ · -456 | $30 | +6 |
| 2026-11-04 | Toledo vs. Sacramento State · Spread Toledo (-6.5)football · spreads | Toledo | lost | 90¢ · -900 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-11-04 | Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbasketball · moneyline | Rockets | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-11-04 | Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)hockey · spreads | Penguins | won | 74¢ · -285 | $10 | +3 |
| 2026-11-04 | Red Wings vs. Lightninghockey · moneyline | Lightning | won | 73¢ · -270 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-11-04 | Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)football · moneyline | Miami (OH) | lost | 70¢ · -233 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-11-04 | Ohio vs. Akronfootball · moneyline | Ohio | won | 77¢ · -335 | $20 | +6 |
| 2026-11-03 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 80¢ · -400 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 78¢ · -355 | $20 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 84¢ · -525 | $20 | +4 |
| 2026-11-03 | Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 88¢ · -733 | $20 | +3 |
| 2026-11-03 | Ohio vs. Akron · Spread Ohio (-3.5)football · spreads | Ohio | won | 78¢ · -355 | $20 | +6 |
| 2026-11-03 | Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: AS Roma O/U 0.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 79¢ · -376 | $10 | +3 |
| 2026-11-03 | Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 85¢ · -567 | $20 | +3 |
| 2026-11-03 | Taranto: Raul Brancaccio vs Kilian Feldbauschtennis · moneyline | Kilian Feldbausch | won | 73¢ · -270 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-11-03 | Combo: Knicks — Nets vs. Knicks + Spurs — Jazz vs. Spurs + 76ers — Bulls vs. 76ersbasketball · combo | — | won | 66¢ · -197 | $25 | +12 |
| 2026-11-02 | Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 74¢ · -285 | $20 | — |
| 2026-11-02 | Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolotennis · moneyline | Casper Ruud | won | 68¢ · -212 | $20 | +9 |
| 2026-11-02 | Nets vs. Knicksbasketball · moneyline | Knicks | won | 89¢ · -809 | $20 | +2 |
| 2026-11-02 | Spread: Bears (-9.5)football · spreads | Seahawks | lost | 88¢ · -733 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-11-02 | Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodartennis · moneyline | Rafael Jodar | won | 80¢ · -400 | $20 | +5 |
| 2026-11-02 | Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacztennis · moneyline | Lorenzo Musetti | won | 65¢ · -186 | $5 | +3 |
| 2026-11-02 | Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navonetennis · moneyline | Luca Van Assche | won | 74¢ · -285 | $10 | +3 |
| 2026-11-01 | Wild vs. Capitalshockey · moneyline | Wild | won | 78¢ · -355 | $10 | +3 |
| 2026-11-01 | Patriots vs. Dolphinsfootball · moneyline | Patriots | won | 66¢ · -193 | $30 | +15 |
| 2026-11-01 | Celtics vs. Magicbasketball · moneyline | Celtics | won | 83¢ · -488 | $20 | +4 |
| 2026-11-01 | Chargers vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline | Rams | won | 74¢ · -280 | $35 | +12 |
| 2026-11-01 | Titans vs. Bengalsfootball · moneyline | Bengals | won | 73¢ · -270 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-11-01 | Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 58.5football · totals | Under | won | 85¢ · -559 | $30 | +5 |
| 2026-11-01 | Colts vs. Jaguarsfootball · moneyline | Jaguars | won | 81¢ · -440 | $60 | +13 |
| 2026-11-01 | Spread: Browns (-5.5)football · spreads | Steelers | won | 80¢ · -400 | $10 | +2 |
| 2026-11-01 | Cardinals vs. Cowboysfootball · moneyline | Cowboys | lost | 75¢ · -300 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-11-01 | Charlottesville: Aidan Mayo vs Duncan Chantennis · moneyline | Aidan Mayo | won | 72¢ · -257 | $20 | +7 |
| 2026-11-01 | Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraztennis · moneyline | Carlos Alcaraz | won | 82¢ · -456 | $40 | +8 |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 88¢ · -733 | $40 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 65¢ · -186 | $10 | +5 |
| 2026-11-01 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffsesports · moneyline | Team Yandex | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-11-01 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 67¢ · -203 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Eagles vs. Commandersfootball · moneyline | Commanders | won | 71¢ · -245 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-11-01 | Spread: Commanders (-17.5)football · spreads | Eagles | won | 83¢ · -488 | $10 | +2 |
| 2026-10-31 | Cavaliers vs. Bucksbasketball · moneyline | Cavaliers | won | 78¢ · -355 | $20 | +6 |
| 2026-10-31 | Counter-Strike: HOTU vs The Huns Esports - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | HOTU | won | 86¢ · -614 | $20 | +3 |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 76¢ · -317 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Michigan vs. Rutgers · Spread Michigan (-3.5)football · spreads | Michigan | won | 80¢ · -400 | $20 | +5 |
| 2026-10-31 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | MOUZ | won | 74¢ · -277 | $38 | −12 |
| 2026-10-31 | Auburn vs. Ole Missfootball · moneyline | Ole Miss | won | 81¢ · -426 | $50 | +11 |
| 2026-10-31 | FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: Deportivo Alavés O/U 2.5 Cornerssoccer · soccer team total corners | Over | won | 58¢ · -140 | $5 | +3 |
| 2026-10-30 | Spread: Jets (-1.5)hockey · spreads | Panthers | won | 85¢ · -567 | $19 | +3 |
| 2026-10-30 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 71¢ · -245 | $20 | — |
| 2026-10-30 | Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-10-30?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 74¢ · -285 | $20 | — |
| 2026-10-30 | UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | won | 73¢ · -270 | $20 | +7 |
| 2026-10-30 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Vitality | lost | 76¢ · -317 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-10-30 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffsesports · moneyline | Vitality | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-10-30 | Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $20 | — |
| 2026-10-30 | Spread: Warriors (-8.5)basketball · spreads | Lakers | lost | 80¢ · -400 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-10-30 | Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)basketball · spreads | Rockets | lost | 79¢ · -376 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-10-30 | Spread: Bengals (-3.5)football · spreads | Bengals | won | 77¢ · -335 | $40 | +12 |
| 2026-10-30 | Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5basketball · totals | Under | won | 77¢ · -335 | $20 | +6 |
| 2026-10-30 | Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shitennis · moneyline | Lilli Tagger | won | 84¢ · -525 | $50 | +9 |
| 2026-10-29 | Spread: Jets (-1.5)hockey · spreads | Lightning | won | 86¢ · -614 | $30 | +5 |
| 2026-10-29 | Will IF Gnistan win on 2026-10-29?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 87¢ · -669 | $30 | — |
| 2026-10-29 | Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbasketball · moneyline | Trail Blazers | lost | 73¢ · -270 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-29 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Strufftennis · moneyline | Novak Djokovic | lost | 77¢ · -335 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-10-29 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musettitennis · moneyline | Lorenzo Musetti | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-29 | Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linettetennis · moneyline | Lilli Tagger | won | 88¢ · -733 | $20 | +3 |
| 2026-10-29 | Curitiba: Francesca Jones vs Marjorie Souzatennis · moneyline | Francesca Jones | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $30 | +2 |
| 2026-10-29 | Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)hockey · spreads | Hurricanes | won | 86¢ · -614 | $20 | +3 |
| 2026-10-29 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffsesports · moneyline | Vitality | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $50 | +5 |
| 2026-10-29 | Tulane vs. Charlottefootball · moneyline | Tulane | won | 76¢ · -317 | $10 | +3 |
| 2026-10-29 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Spirit | won | 82¢ · -465 | $40 | +8 |
| 2026-10-29 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Spirit | won | 90¢ · -900 | $30 | +3 |
| 2026-10-29 | Combo: Cavaliers — Wizards vs. Cavaliers + 76ers — 76ers vs. Pacers + Spurs — Spurs vs. Jazzbasketball · combo | — | won | 49¢ · +105 | $10 | +10 |
| 2026-10-28 | Sioux Falls: Mees Rottgering vs Kaylan Biguntennis · moneyline | Mees Rottgering | won | 88¢ · -733 | $20 | +3 |
| 2026-10-28 | Blue Jackets vs. Hurricaneshockey · moneyline | Hurricanes | won | 69¢ · -224 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-10-28 | Will Kuching City FC win on 2026-10-29?moneyline · Non-sports | No | won | 87¢ · -669 | $20 | — |
| 2026-10-28 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Remy Bertola vs Denis Shapovalovtennis · moneyline | Denis Shapovalov | won | 74¢ · -285 | $20 | +7 |
| 2026-10-28 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stageesports · moneyline | Spirit | lost | 70¢ · -233 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-10-28 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffsesports · moneyline | PARIVISION | won | 83¢ · -488 | $30 | +6 |