Public evidence record

xbcasd

0xb340ecd9e8b681562affbafe4a87514b31261ad1

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.6%382 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.9%$2,954,348 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.02%177 pre-event fills

Settlement record

276-69Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−20.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 382 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.0% to -2.3%

382 closed positions · 1,357 taker fills · $2,954,348 deployed

Typical position $2,415 (median) · closing line value measured over 177 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer319 closed233–55-5.4%
Baseball51 closed33–12-6.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Combo: Over — Grêmio FBPA vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 0.5 + Over — Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 0.5 + Over — OGC Nice vs. Lille OSC: O/U 0.5 + Over — Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 + Over — Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 0.5 + Over — AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5 + Over — Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5 + Over — Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5 + Over — Frosinone Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 0.5 + Over — Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5 + Over — Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5 + Over — Juventus FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5 + Over — RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 0.5 + Over — AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 0.5 + Over — FC Schalke 04 vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5 + Over — ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5soccer · combo	—	lost	40¢ · +149	$26	−26
2026-09-20	Combo: Under — Colorado Rapids SC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 5.5 + Under — Portland Timbers vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5soccer · combo	—	lost	88¢ · -751	$5,848	−5,848
2026-09-20	Real Salt Lake vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5soccer · totals