Public evidence record

ivanovix91

0xb3981665faeff55f6ca774d2f99377f490f93a9f

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-0.7%158 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+1.8%$28,466 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.10%94 pre-event fills

Settlement record

113-19-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−4.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 158 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.1% to +4.7%

158 closed positions · 497 taker fills · $28,466 deployed

Typical position $105 (median) · closing line value measured over 94 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$10

Will Getafe be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?

No

entry 76¢ · -315now 65¢ · -186−10.9 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports56 closed46–3–1-3.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 45 sports · 55 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-13	Combo: Yes — Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? + Yes — Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? + Yes — Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? + Yes — Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13? + Yes — Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?soccer · combo	—	lost	34¢ · +191	$3	−3
2026-10-13	Combo: No — Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13? + No — Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-13? + No — Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13? + No — Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?soccer · combo	—	lost	76¢ · -320	$105	−105
2026-10-13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5PM ETNon-sports	Down	lost	84¢ · -528	$444	−444