Public evidence record

ltab233

0xb41e4fd0d755642037f65cd80a8486e821c7db27

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+3.8%757 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+10.8%$53,242 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+2.45%1,417 pre-event fills

Settlement record

382-338-30Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−22.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 757 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -2.8% to +10.5%

757 closed positions · 2,051 taker fills · $53,242 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,417 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$48

M25 Falun: Noah Karma vs Jack Karlsson Wistrand

Jack Karlsson Wistrand

entry 40¢ · +150now 19¢ · +426−21.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports335 closed179–148–5-1.8%
Tennis330 closed148–155–25+2.3%
Soccer65 closed38–25+0.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Korea Open: Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linettetennis · moneyline	Darya Astakhova	won	26¢ · +285	$52	+140
2026-09-21	Korea Open: Xinxin Yao vs Maya Jointtennis · moneyline	Maya Joint	won	40¢ · +147	$153	+218
2026-09-21	Korea Open: Xinxin Yao vs Maya Jointtennis · moneyline	Xinxin Yao	lost	47¢ · +113	$103	−103
2026-09-20	Counter-Strike: WBT vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline	Eternal Fire	won	73¢ · -270