Loading this page’s records…
Loading this page’s records…
Public evidence record
0xb4bd7adc7bb5dbed11009c08c3d4b0d80646f540
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-6.7%390 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-8.4%$26,297 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-2.57%140 pre-event fillsSettlement record
155-171Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−42.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 390 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.4% to -1.1%
390 closed positions · 816 taker fills · $26,297 deployed
Typical position $36 (median) · closing line value measured over 140 pre-event fills · 3% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 84 sports · 16 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | Predators vs. Avalanchehockey · moneyline | Predators | exited | 49¢ · +104 | $35 | +34 |
| 2026-11-05 | Flames vs. Krakenhockey · moneyline | Kraken | won | 55¢ · -124 | $98 | −13 |
| 2026-11-05 | Flames vs. Krakenhockey · moneyline | Flames | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $18 | −1 |
| 2026-11-05 | Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5basketball · totals |
| Under |
| won |
| 51¢ · -106 |
| $170 |
| +107 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 45¢ · +122 | $31 | +8 |
| 2026-11-05 | Lakers vs. Kingsbasketball · moneyline | Kings | lost | 23¢ · +336 | $48 | −17 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | 95¢ · -1947 | $44 | +0 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $5 | −2 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | 51¢ · -103 | $54 | −5 |
| 2026-11-05 | Senators vs. Sabreshockey · moneyline | Senators | exited | 48¢ · +109 | $196 | −13 |
| 2026-11-05 | Senators vs. Sabreshockey · moneyline | Sabres | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $101 | −12 |
| 2026-10-26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $46 | −46 |
| 2026-10-26 | Canadiens vs. Jetshockey · moneyline | Jets | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $294 | −112 |
| 2026-10-26 | Canadiens vs. Jetshockey · moneyline | Canadiens | won | 55¢ · -122 | $168 | −13 |
| 2026-10-26 | Islanders vs. Stars: O/U 7.5hockey · totals | Over | won | 64¢ · -178 | $136 | +31 |
| 2026-10-25 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-25 | Giants vs. Texansfootball · moneyline | Giants | exited | 70¢ · -233 | $35 | +14 |
| 2026-10-25 | Browns vs. Titansfootball · moneyline | Browns | won | 60¢ · -150 | $71 | +24 |
| 2026-10-25 | Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Under | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-10-25 | Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Over | won | 53¢ · -113 | $33 | −2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $17 | +16 |
| 2026-10-25 | Sabres vs. Capitalshockey · moneyline | Sabres | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $35 | −18 |
| 2026-10-23 | Hurricanes vs. Oilershockey · moneyline | Oilers | won | 49¢ · +102 | $47 | +12 |
| 2026-10-23 | Hurricanes vs. Oilershockey · moneyline | Hurricanes | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $22 | −3 |
| 2026-10-22 | Rangers vs. Maple Leafshockey · moneyline | Maple Leafs | won | 49¢ · +104 | $106 | +27 |
| 2026-10-22 | Panthers vs. Senatorshockey · moneyline | Panthers | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $141 | +35 |
| 2026-10-21 | Sharks vs. Canadienshockey · moneyline | Sharks | won | 45¢ · +122 | $16 | +18 |
| 2026-10-21 | Sharks vs. Canadienshockey · moneyline | Canadiens | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $18 | −1 |
| 2026-10-21 | Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketshockey · moneyline | Maple Leafs | exited | 40¢ · +150 | $70 | +28 |
| 2026-10-20 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 59¢ · -144 | $35 | — |
| 2026-10-20 | Sharks vs. Maple Leafshockey · moneyline | Maple Leafs | won | 55¢ · -122 | $18 | +14 |
| 2026-10-19 | Hurricanes vs. Flameshockey · moneyline | Flames | won | 33¢ · +203 | $17 | +31 |
| 2026-10-19 | Blue Jackets vs. Wildhockey · moneyline | Wild | won | 63¢ · -170 | $35 | +20 |
| 2026-10-17 | Kraken vs. Panthershockey · moneyline | Panthers | won | 64¢ · -178 | $49 | +10 |
| 2026-10-17 | Canucks vs. Lightninghockey · moneyline | Lightning | won | 71¢ · -245 | $36 | +14 |
| 2026-10-14 | Canadiens vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Under | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $105 | −105 |
| 2026-10-11 | Ducks vs. Flameshockey · moneyline | Flames | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-10-09 | Penguins vs. Blue Jacketshockey · moneyline | Penguins | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-10-09 | Avalanche vs. Flameshockey · moneyline | Avalanche | won | 70¢ · -233 | $35 | +13 |
| 2026-10-07 | Wild vs. Sabreshockey · moneyline | Wild | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $35 | −2 |
| 2026-10-04 | Utah vs. Rangershockey · moneyline | Rangers | won | 52¢ · -108 | $70 | +23 |
| 2026-10-01 | Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Under | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $70 | −70 |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026Non-sports | Yes | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $70 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Under | won | 55¢ · -122 | $70 | +49 |
| 2026-09-26 | Jets vs. Avalanchehockey · moneyline | Avalanche | won | 54¢ · -116 | $35 | +29 |
| 2026-09-23 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $67 | −67 |
| 2026-09-23 | Oilers vs. Jetshockey · moneyline | Jets | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $71 | −3 |
| 2026-09-21 | Red Wings vs. Blue Jacketshockey · moneyline | Red Wings | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-09-21 | Red Wings vs. Blue Jacketshockey · moneyline | Blue Jackets | won | 52¢ · -108 | $36 | −5 |
| 2026-09-21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-09-21 | Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline | Colts | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $7 | −0 |
| 2026-09-21 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $7 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 64¢ · -178 | $6 | +1 |
| 2026-09-21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 28¢ · +257 | $4 | +1 |
| 2026-09-21 | Utah vs. Avalanchehockey · moneyline | Utah | exited | 22¢ · +355 | $21 | −16 |
| 2026-09-20 | Islanders vs. Devilshockey · moneyline | Devils | won | 55¢ · -122 | $35 | +27 |
| 2026-09-19 | Stars vs. Blueshockey · moneyline | Stars | exited | 49¢ · +104 | $71 | +19 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 56¢ · -127 | $18 | +13 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · nrfi | No | exited | 59¢ · -144 | $18 | +12 |
| 2026-09-11 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $36 | −36 |
| 2026-09-10 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · nrfi | No | exited | 65¢ · -188 | $70 | +35 |
| 2026-09-10 | FC Bayern München to score first vs. FK Bodø/Glimt?soccer · soccer first to score | Yes | won | 86¢ · -614 | $38 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Philliesbaseball · moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies | exited | 59¢ · -144 | $36 | +2 |
| 2026-09-05 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $36 | −36 |
| 2026-09-04 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-09-03 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 52¢ · -108 | $36 | +32 |
| 2026-09-01 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $36 | −36 |
| 2026-08-31 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-08-30 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Athleticsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 46¢ · +117 | $18 | +20 |
| 2026-08-29 | Will Halmstads BK vs. Kalmar FF end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $68 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 57¢ · -133 | $18 | +13 |
| 2026-08-27 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 55¢ · -122 | $22 | +17 |
| 2026-08-27 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Athleticsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $36 | −36 |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-08-26 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline | Pittsburgh Pirates | won | 40¢ · +150 | $59 | +22 |
| 2026-08-26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $24 | +3 |
| 2026-08-26 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $36 | −4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 57¢ · -133 | $18 | +13 |
| 2026-08-24 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $19 | −19 |
| 2026-08-24 | Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Under | exited | 39¢ · +156 | $18 | +19 |
| 2026-08-23 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 49¢ · +104 | $94 | +44 |
| 2026-08-23 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 48¢ · +108 | $108 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 43¢ · +133 | $18 | +23 |
| 2026-08-22 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $74 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | NYG vs. MIA: O/U 37.5football · totals | Under | won | 70¢ · -233 | $89 | −15 |
| 2026-08-22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 68¢ · -212 | $5 | +0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Giants vs. Dolphinsfootball · moneyline | Giants | won | 63¢ · -170 | $72 | +17 |
| 2026-08-21 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-08-21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 26¢ · +281 | $72 | +18 |
| 2026-08-20 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $54 | −54 |
| 2026-08-19 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $36 | −36 |
| 2026-08-18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 62¢ · -163 | $15 | +6 |
| 2026-08-18 | Prague 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Radu Mihai Papoetennis · moneyline | Oriol Roca Batalla | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $11 | +4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 67¢ · -203 | $14 | −3 |
| 2026-08-17 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-08-14 | Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?Non-sports | No | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $9 | −9 |
| 2026-08-14 | Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 33¢ · +207 | $45 | — |
| 2026-08-14 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 51¢ · -104 | $35 | +31 |