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Public evidence record
0xb5aa9120ee3313e44d5e6a4895b8f7118cda5bd7
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-14.1%283 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-3.2%$219,592 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.56%85 pre-event fillsSettlement record
127-143Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−23.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 283 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -21.5% to -6.8%
283 closed positions · 1,163 taker fills · $219,592 deployed
Typical position $500 (median) · closing line value measured over 85 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 82 sports · 18 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Combo: Rams — Cardinals vs. Rams + Patriots — Jets vs. Patriots + Steelers — Steelers vs. Buccaneersfootball · combo | — | lost | 38¢ · +160 | $2,139 | −2,139 |
| 2026-10-18 | Combo: Panthers — Panthers vs. Eagles + Colts — Titans vs. Coltsfootball · combo | — | lost | 46¢ · +118 | $1,000 | −1,000 |
| 2026-10-18 | Combo: Panthers — Panthers vs. Eagles + Colts — Titans vs. Colts + Rams — Cardinals vs. Rams + Patriots — Jets vs. Patriots + Steelers — Steelers vs. Buccaneersfootball · combo | — | lost | 18¢ · +452 | $2,000 | −2,000 |
| 2026-10-18 |
| Combo: Panthers — Panthers vs. Eagles + Colts — Titans vs. Colts + Bears — Bears vs. Falcons + Rams — Cardinals vs. Rams + Ravens — Ravens vs. Browns + Patriots — Jets vs. Patriotsfootball · combo |
| — |
| lost |
| 41¢ · +146 |
| $900 |
| −900 |
| 2026-10-13 | Bills vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline | Rams | lost | 59¢ · -143 | $4,960 | −4,960 |
| 2026-10-13 | Spread: Rams (-2.5)football · spreads | Rams | lost | 53¢ · -114 | $1,724 | −1,724 |
| 2026-10-12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 30¢ · +231 | $315 | +371 |
| 2026-10-11 | 49ers vs. Seahawksfootball · moneyline | Seahawks | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $506 | −109 |
| 2026-10-11 | Combo: Texans — Texans vs. Titans + Bengals — Bengals vs. Dolphinsfootball · combo | — | won | 59¢ · -141 | $3,000 | +2,020 |
| 2026-10-11 | Combo: Texans — Texans vs. Titans + Browns — Browns vs. Jetsfootball · combo | — | lost | 34¢ · +191 | $500 | −500 |
| 2026-10-11 | Combo: Lions — Lions vs. Cardinals + Seahawks — 49ers vs. Seahawks + Texans — Texans vs. Titans + Raiders — Spread: Patriots (-3.5) + Chargers — Spread: Broncos (-3.5) + Bengals — Bengals vs. Dolphins + Browns — Browns vs. Jetsfootball · combo | — | lost | 3¢ · +3120 | $150 | −150 |
| 2026-10-11 | Browns vs. Jetsfootball · moneyline | Jets | won | 60¢ · -148 | $303 | +199 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bengals vs. Dolphinsfootball · moneyline | Dolphins | lost | 4¢ · +2488 | $141 | −141 |
| 2026-10-11 | Texans vs. Titansfootball · moneyline | Titans | lost | 3¢ · +3254 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bengals vs. Dolphinsfootball · moneyline | Bengals | won | 76¢ · -317 | $2,014 | +617 |
| 2026-10-11 | Texans vs. Titansfootball · moneyline | Texans | won | 76¢ · -317 | $2,014 | +617 |
| 2026-10-11 | Browns vs. Jetsfootball · moneyline | Browns | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $508 | −508 |
| 2026-10-09 | Combo: Cowboys — Buccaneers vs. Cowboys + Texans — Texans vs. Titans + Bengals — Bengals vs. Dolphinsfootball · combo | — | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $1,000 | −1,000 |
| 2026-10-06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | 16¢ · +525 | $106 | −6 |
| 2026-10-06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 48¢ · +108 | $414 | +199 |
| 2026-10-06 | Spread: Falcons (-10.5)football · spreads | Saints | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $1,000 | −820 |
| 2026-10-06 | Falcons vs. Saintsfootball · moneyline | Saints | lost | 35¢ · +185 | $600 | −385 |
| 2026-10-06 | Spread: Falcons (-5.5)football · spreads | Saints | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $200 | −200 |
| 2026-10-05 | Lions vs. Panthersfootball · moneyline | Panthers | won | 46¢ · +115 | $600 | +691 |
| 2026-10-05 | Combo: Yes — Chiefs vs. Raiders + No — Chargers vs. Seahawksfootball · combo | — | won | 53¢ · -115 | $1,050 | +868 |
| 2026-10-05 | Combo: 49ers — Broncos vs. 49ers + Chiefs — Chiefs vs. Raidersfootball · combo | — | won | 44¢ · +125 | $1,500 | +1,785 |
| 2026-10-05 | Combo: 49ers — Broncos vs. 49ers + Seahawks — Chargers vs. Seahawksfootball · combo | — | won | 50¢ · +101 | $1,050 | +1,012 |
| 2026-10-04 | Chiefs vs. Raidersfootball · moneyline | Chiefs | won | 66¢ · -198 | $2,500 | +1,265 |
| 2026-10-04 | Broncos vs. 49ersfootball · moneyline | 49ers | won | 54¢ · -116 | $2,500 | +2,163 |
| 2026-10-04 | Combo: Colts — Colts vs. Commanders + Cardinals — Cardinals vs. Giantsfootball · combo | — | lost | 38¢ · +166 | $525 | −525 |
| 2026-10-04 | Combo: Bills — Patriots vs. Bills + Rams — Rams vs. Eaglesfootball · combo | — | lost | 48¢ · +107 | $525 | −525 |
| 2026-10-04 | Combo: Ravens — Titans vs. Ravens + Bills — Patriots vs. Bills + 49ers — Broncos vs. 49ers + Rams — Rams vs. Eagles + Chiefs — Chiefs vs. Raiders + Colts — Colts vs. Commandersfootball · combo | — | lost | 11¢ · +790 | $500 | −500 |
| 2026-10-04 | Combo: Cowboys — Cowboys vs. Texans + Ravens — Titans vs. Ravens + Bills — Patriots vs. Bills + 49ers — Broncos vs. 49ers + Rams — Rams vs. Eagles + Chiefs — Chiefs vs. Raiders + Colts — Colts vs. Commanders + Cardinals — Cardinals vs. Giants + Seahawks — Chargers vs. Seahawksfootball · combo | — | lost | 2¢ · +3962 | $275 | −275 |
| 2026-10-04 | Jaguars vs. Bengalsfootball · moneyline | Bengals | lost | 23¢ · +335 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-10-04 | Patriots vs. Billsfootball · moneyline | Patriots | won | 36¢ · +177 | $102 | +180 |
| 2026-10-04 | Cardinals vs. Giantsfootball · moneyline | Cardinals | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $300 | −145 |
| 2026-10-04 | Spread: Ravens (-9.5)football · spreads | Ravens | lost | 58¢ · -136 | $1,000 | −1,000 |
| 2026-10-04 | Cowboys vs. Texansfootball · moneyline | Cowboys | won | 42¢ · +138 | $100 | +138 |
| 2026-10-04 | Rams vs. Eaglesfootball · moneyline | Rams | won | 64¢ · -178 | $300 | +169 |
| 2026-10-04 | Colts vs. Commandersfootball · moneyline | Colts | won | 66¢ · -194 | $1,000 | +515 |
| 2026-10-03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 22¢ · +355 | $105 | −17 |
| 2026-10-02 | Steelers vs. Brownsfootball · moneyline | Browns | won | 44¢ · +129 | $3,558 | +3,794 |
| 2026-09-21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 72¢ · -252 | $102 | +38 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Panthers — Panthers vs. Falcons + Bears — Vikings vs. Bears + Chiefs — Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · combo | — | lost | 30¢ · +237 | $300 | −300 |
| 2026-09-16 | Spread: Bills (-7.5)football · spreads | Lions | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $510 | −510 |
| 2026-09-16 | Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline | Chiefs | won | 74¢ · -285 | $1,013 | +338 |
| 2026-09-16 | Vikings vs. Bearsfootball · moneyline | Bears | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $1,016 | −1,016 |
| 2026-09-16 | Panthers vs. Falconsfootball · moneyline | Panthers | won | 58¢ · -138 | $1,021 | +703 |
| 2026-09-14 | Combo: Lions — Saints vs. Lions + Ravens — Ravens vs. Colts + Cowboys — Cowboys vs. Giantsfootball · combo | — | lost | 29¢ · +248 | $600 | −600 |
| 2026-09-14 | Cowboys vs. Giantsfootball · moneyline | Giants | won | 67¢ · -203 | $1,016 | +476 |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: Jaguars — Browns vs. Jaguars + Lions — Saints vs. Lions + Chargers — Cardinals vs. Chargers + Ravens — Ravens vs. Colts + Bears — Bears vs. Panthers + Eagles — Commanders vs. Eagles + Cowboys — Cowboys vs. Giantsfootball · combo | — | lost | 8¢ · +1142 | $250 | −250 |
| 2026-09-13 | Packers vs. Vikingsfootball · moneyline | Vikings | won | 56¢ · -127 | $307 | +229 |
| 2026-09-13 | Ravens vs. Coltsfootball · moneyline | Ravens | won | 61¢ · -156 | $1,866 | +1,134 |
| 2026-09-13 | Cowboys vs. Giantsfootball · moneyline | Cowboys | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $1,264 | −1,264 |
| 2026-09-09 | Patriots vs. Seahawksfootball · moneyline | Seahawks | won | 62¢ · -163 | $15,734 | +9,170 |
| 2026-08-31 | 49ers vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline | Rams | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $410 | −410 |
| 2026-07-19 | Combo: Yes — Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals + Yes — Lionel Messi: 1+ goalssoccer · combo | — | lost | 11¢ · +777 | $200 | −200 |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $3,812 | −3,812 |
| 2026-07-16 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Non-sports | No | won | 61¢ · -156 | $1,097 | — |
| 2026-07-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | 48¢ · +108 | $146 | −77 |
| 2026-07-16 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | won | 15¢ · +547 | $1,453 | — |
| 2026-07-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 4¢ · +2400 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-07-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 61¢ · -157 | $719 | +426 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +575 | $626 | −626 |
| 2026-07-15 | England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5soccer · first half totals | Under | won | 38¢ · +163 | $722 | +1,120 |
| 2026-07-13 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 27¢ · +276 | $3,082 | — |
| 2026-07-12 | Combo: Spain — Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance + England — Norway vs. England: Team to Advancesoccer · combo | — | won | 49¢ · +103 | $350 | +351 |
| 2026-07-12 | Combo: Yes — Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? + Yes — Will England win on 2026-07-11?soccer · combo | — | lost | 32¢ · +209 | $150 | −150 |
| 2026-07-12 | Combo: Yes — Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? + Yes — Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? + Yes — Will England win on 2026-07-11?soccer · combo | — | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $177 | −177 |
| 2026-07-11 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $514 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | Will England win on 2026-07-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 53¢ · -114 | $921 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | England | won | 68¢ · -216 | $1,016 | +446 |
| 2026-07-11 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Conor McGregor | lost | 31¢ · +223 | $2,052 | −2,052 |
| 2026-07-10 | Combo: Yes — Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals + Yes — Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistssoccer · combo | — | lost | 13¢ · +687 | $200 | −200 |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Spain | won | 74¢ · -281 | $1,621 | +548 |
| 2026-07-10 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $104 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $516 | −516 |
| 2026-07-10 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistssoccer · soccer player assists | Yes | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $311 | −311 |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain leading at halftime?soccer · soccer halftime result | Yes | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $514 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 60¢ · -147 | $1,522 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Morocco | lost | 22¢ · +354 | $512 | −331 |
| 2026-07-09 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 11¢ · +789 | $175 | — |
| 2026-07-07 | Combo: Colombia — Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance + Argentina — Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancesoccer · combo | — | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $600 | −600 |
| 2026-07-07 | Combo: Colombia — Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance + Yes — Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?soccer · combo | — | lost | 45¢ · +121 | $400 | −400 |
| 2026-07-07 | Combo: Yes — Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? + Yes — Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?soccer · combo | — | lost | 33¢ · +207 | $299 | −299 |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Switzerland | won | 49¢ · +104 | $508 | +376 |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Colombia | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $1,012 | −1,012 |
| 2026-07-07 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +2841 | $206 | — |
| 2026-06-28 | Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | won | 67¢ · -207 | $3,675 | +1,198 |
| 2026-06-28 | Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 52¢ · -110 | $816 | −816 |
| 2026-06-28 | Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | won | 63¢ · -170 | $1,274 | +726 |
| 2026-06-28 | Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $517 | −517 |
| 2026-06-28 | Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-06-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 53¢ · -114 | $1,238 | −1,238 |
| 2026-06-28 | Combo: Jordan — Spread: Argentina (-2.5) + Under — Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 + No — Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · combo | — | lost | 38¢ · +164 | $300 | −300 |
| 2026-06-28 | Combo: Jordan — Spread: Argentina (-2.5) + Under — Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5soccer · combo | — | lost | 39¢ · +157 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-06-28 | Spread: Argentina (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Jordan | won | 59¢ · -144 | $1,417 | +953 |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 46¢ · +119 | $1,322 | −896 |
| 2026-06-28 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | No | lost | 55¢ · -121 | $1,628 | −1,628 |
| 2026-06-28 | Spread: Argentina (-3.5)soccer · spreads | Jordan | won | 59¢ · -142 | $3,352 | +2,357 |