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Public evidence record
0xb5aa9120ee3313e44d5e6a4895b8f7118cda5bd7
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-13.1%241 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-2.2%$173,995 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.52%62 pre-event fillsSettlement record
110-118Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−21.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 241 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -20.7% to -5.5%
241 closed positions · 1,089 taker fills · $173,995 deployed
Typical position $410 (median) · closing line value measured over 62 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 77 sports · 23 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 72¢ · -252 | $102 | +38 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Panthers — Panthers vs. Falcons + Bears — Vikings vs. Bears + Chiefs — Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · combo | — | lost | 30¢ · +237 | $300 | −300 |
| 2026-09-16 | Spread: Bills (-7.5)football · spreads | Lions | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $510 | −510 |
| 2026-09-16 | Colts vs. Chiefs |
| Chiefs |
| won |
| 74¢ · -285 |
| $1,013 |
| +338 |
| 2026-09-16 | Vikings vs. Bearsfootball · moneyline | Bears | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $1,016 | −1,016 |
| 2026-09-16 | Panthers vs. Falconsfootball · moneyline | Panthers | won | 58¢ · -138 | $1,021 | +703 |
| 2026-09-14 | Combo: Lions — Saints vs. Lions + Ravens — Ravens vs. Colts + Cowboys — Cowboys vs. Giantsfootball · combo | — | lost | 29¢ · +248 | $600 | −600 |
| 2026-09-14 | Cowboys vs. Giantsfootball · moneyline | Giants | won | 67¢ · -203 | $1,016 | +476 |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: Jaguars — Browns vs. Jaguars + Lions — Saints vs. Lions + Chargers — Cardinals vs. Chargers + Ravens — Ravens vs. Colts + Bears — Bears vs. Panthers + Eagles — Commanders vs. Eagles + Cowboys — Cowboys vs. Giantsfootball · combo | — | lost | 8¢ · +1142 | $250 | −250 |
| 2026-09-13 | Packers vs. Vikingsfootball · moneyline | Vikings | won | 56¢ · -127 | $307 | +229 |
| 2026-09-13 | Ravens vs. Coltsfootball · moneyline | Ravens | won | 61¢ · -156 | $1,866 | +1,134 |
| 2026-09-13 | Cowboys vs. Giantsfootball · moneyline | Cowboys | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $1,264 | −1,264 |
| 2026-09-09 | Patriots vs. Seahawksfootball · moneyline | Seahawks | won | 62¢ · -163 | $15,734 | +9,170 |
| 2026-08-31 | 49ers vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline | Rams | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $410 | −410 |
| 2026-07-19 | Combo: Yes — Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals + Yes — Lionel Messi: 1+ goalssoccer · combo | — | lost | 11¢ · +777 | $200 | −200 |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $3,812 | −3,812 |
| 2026-07-16 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Non-sports | No | won | 61¢ · -156 | $1,097 | — |
| 2026-07-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | 48¢ · +108 | $146 | −77 |
| 2026-07-16 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | won | 15¢ · +547 | $1,453 | — |
| 2026-07-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 4¢ · +2400 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-07-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 61¢ · -157 | $719 | +426 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +575 | $626 | −626 |
| 2026-07-15 | England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5soccer · first half totals | Under | won | 38¢ · +163 | $722 | +1,120 |
| 2026-07-13 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 27¢ · +276 | $3,082 | — |
| 2026-07-12 | Combo: Spain — Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance + England — Norway vs. England: Team to Advancesoccer · combo | — | won | 49¢ · +103 | $350 | +351 |
| 2026-07-12 | Combo: Yes — Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? + Yes — Will England win on 2026-07-11?soccer · combo | — | lost | 32¢ · +209 | $150 | −150 |
| 2026-07-12 | Combo: Yes — Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? + Yes — Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? + Yes — Will England win on 2026-07-11?soccer · combo | — | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $177 | −177 |
| 2026-07-11 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $514 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | Will England win on 2026-07-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 53¢ · -114 | $921 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | England | won | 68¢ · -216 | $1,016 | +446 |
| 2026-07-11 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Conor McGregor | lost | 31¢ · +223 | $2,052 | −2,052 |
| 2026-07-10 | Combo: Yes — Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals + Yes — Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistssoccer · combo | — | lost | 13¢ · +687 | $200 | −200 |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Spain | won | 74¢ · -281 | $1,621 | +548 |
| 2026-07-10 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $104 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $516 | −516 |
| 2026-07-10 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistssoccer · soccer player assists | Yes | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $311 | −311 |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain leading at halftime?soccer · soccer halftime result | Yes | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $514 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 60¢ · -147 | $1,522 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Morocco | lost | 22¢ · +354 | $512 | −331 |
| 2026-07-09 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 11¢ · +789 | $175 | — |
| 2026-07-07 | Combo: Colombia — Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance + Yes — Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?soccer · combo | — | lost | 45¢ · +121 | $400 | −400 |
| 2026-07-07 | Combo: Colombia — Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance + Argentina — Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancesoccer · combo | — | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $600 | −600 |
| 2026-07-07 | Combo: Yes — Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? + Yes — Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?soccer · combo | — | lost | 33¢ · +207 | $299 | −299 |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Switzerland | won | 49¢ · +104 | $508 | +376 |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Colombia | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $1,012 | −1,012 |
| 2026-07-07 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +2841 | $206 | — |
| 2026-06-28 | Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | won | 67¢ · -207 | $3,675 | +1,198 |
| 2026-06-28 | Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 52¢ · -110 | $816 | −816 |
| 2026-06-28 | Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | won | 63¢ · -170 | $1,274 | +726 |
| 2026-06-28 | Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $517 | −517 |
| 2026-06-28 | Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-06-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 53¢ · -114 | $1,238 | −1,238 |
| 2026-06-28 | Combo: Jordan — Spread: Argentina (-2.5) + Under — Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5soccer · combo | — | lost | 39¢ · +157 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-06-28 | Combo: Jordan — Spread: Argentina (-2.5) + Under — Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 + No — Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · combo | — | lost | 38¢ · +164 | $300 | −300 |
| 2026-06-28 | Spread: Argentina (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Jordan | won | 59¢ · -144 | $1,417 | +953 |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 46¢ · +119 | $1,322 | −896 |
| 2026-06-28 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | No | lost | 55¢ · -121 | $1,628 | −1,628 |
| 2026-06-28 | Spread: Argentina (-3.5)soccer · spreads | Jordan | won | 59¢ · -142 | $3,352 | +2,357 |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5soccer · soccer first half team totals | Under | lost | 35¢ · +187 | $306 | −306 |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?soccer · soccer halftime result | Yes | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $714 | — |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5soccer · first half totals | Under | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $1,011 | −1,011 |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?soccer · soccer first to score | Yes | lost | 5¢ · +2119 | $103 | — |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $455 | −455 |
| 2026-06-28 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 14¢ · +614 | $154 | — |
| 2026-06-28 | Combo: Yes — Will England win on 2026-06-27? + Yes — Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? + Yes — Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?soccer · combo | — | lost | 37¢ · +168 | $400 | −400 |
| 2026-06-27 | Combo: No — Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? + Yes — Will England win on 2026-06-27? + Yes — Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? + Yes — Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?soccer · combo | — | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-06-27 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $914 | — |
| 2026-06-27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | 32¢ · +212 | $210 | −19 |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand vs. Belgium · Spread Belgium (-2.5)soccer · spreads | New Zealand | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $304 | −233 |
| 2026-06-27 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $77 | — |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 60¢ · -149 | $1,012 | −1,012 |
| 2026-06-27 | Combo: Yes — Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? + Yes — Will France win on 2026-06-26?soccer · combo | — | won | 40¢ · +149 | $1,000 | +1,444 |
| 2026-06-26 | Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | won | 67¢ · -204 | $707 | +336 |
| 2026-06-25 | Combo: Yes — Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? + Yes — Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? + Yes — Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?soccer · combo | — | won | 54¢ · -115 | $507 | +426 |
| 2026-06-25 | Combo: Yes — Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? + Yes — Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?soccer · combo | — | lost | 34¢ · +197 | $204 | −204 |
| 2026-06-25 | Combo: Yes — Will United States win on 2026-06-25? + Yes — Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? + Yes — Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? + Yes — Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?soccer · combo | — | lost | 15¢ · +551 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-06-25 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 17¢ · +499 | $154 | — |
| 2026-06-25 | Combo: Yes — Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? + Yes — Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? + Yes — Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? + Yes — Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? + Yes — Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? + Yes — Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? + Yes — Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? + Yes — Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?soccer · combo | — | lost | 5¢ · +1955 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-06-25 | Combo: Yes — Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? + Yes — Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?soccer · combo | — | won | 61¢ · -157 | $1,537 | +952 |
| 2026-06-24 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 75¢ · -300 | $764 | — |
| 2026-06-24 | Neymar Jr: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-06-24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Non-sports | No | won | 55¢ · -124 | $1,793 | +1,150 |
| 2026-06-22 | Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1150 | $31 | — |
| 2026-06-22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Non-sports | No | lost | 67¢ · -204 | $2,719 | −2,719 |
| 2026-06-22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 47¢ · +115 | $519 | −345 |
| 2026-06-22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $220 | −220 |
| 2026-06-22 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1212 | $1,412 | — |
| 2026-06-22 | Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | won | 65¢ · -184 | $875 | +465 |
| 2026-06-22 | Combo: Yes — Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? + Yes — Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?soccer · combo | — | lost | 46¢ · +116 | $610 | −610 |
| 2026-06-21 | Combo: Yes — Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? + Yes — Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?soccer · combo | — | lost | 44¢ · +128 | $508 | −508 |
| 2026-06-21 | Combo: Yes — Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? + Yes — Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? + Yes — Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? + Yes — Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?soccer · combo | — | lost | 27¢ · +268 | $307 | −307 |
| 2026-06-21 | Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 36¢ · +175 | $204 | — |
| 2026-06-21 | Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +9257 | $51 | — |
| 2026-06-21 | Combo: Yes — Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? + Yes — Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?soccer · combo | — | won | 43¢ · +134 | $1,627 | +2,123 |
| 2026-06-21 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 24¢ · +318 | $307 | — |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 32¢ · +217 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-06-20 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $506 | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | lost | 23¢ · +332 | $204 | −204 |
| 2026-06-19 | Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $103 | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 29¢ · +250 | $1,021 | — |