Public evidence record

Aurasi

0xb697ccd520ecf9969fa37e417f66c5c9bf6b5d0c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 26, 2026

Source sync: Sep 25, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.4%728 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.5%$114,269 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.60%1,014 pre-event fills

Settlement record

336-386-5Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−72.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 728 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.3% to +0.5%

728 closed positions · 1,680 taker fills · $114,269 deployed

Typical position $74 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,014 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$640

Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Valentin Royer

Daniil Medvedev

entry 78¢ · -349now 78¢ · -344−0.2 pts

Open

value$609

Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5

Over

entry 78¢ · -353now 73¢ · -264−5.4 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports337 closed149–183–4-11.9%
Soccer325 closed144–181-3.7%
Tennis55 closed34–20–1-2.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-25	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsesports · moneyline	Xtreme Gaming	lost	57¢ · -133	$66	−66
2026-09-25	Counter-Strike: NRG vs Wildcard (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN Group Aesports · moneyline	NRG	won	62¢ · -163	$112	+65
2026-09-25	Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group Stageesports · moneyline	Procyon Gaming	won	67¢ · -203	$88	+41
2026-09-25	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?soccer · moneyline	Yes