Public evidence record

aurelienosteo11

0xb70b150e75d503d7e95f7f120d87e30a739b1668

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-7.0%794 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.0%$159,496 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.88%259 pre-event fills

Settlement record

501-156-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−7.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 794 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.1% to -4.0%

794 closed positions · 2,634 taker fills · $159,496 deployed

Typical position $60 (median) · closing line value measured over 259 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

We couldn’t reach the source just now, so this is unavailable rather than empty. The settled record below is unaffected.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis666 closed413–131–3-7.0%
Baseball53 closed40–7-5.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETNon-sports	Up	won	84¢ · -525	$10	+2
2026-09-18	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline	Yes	exited	96¢ · -2400	$90	—
2026-09-18	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Kruegertennis · moneyline	Michael Zheng	won	98¢ · -6528	$185	+1
2026-09-18	Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-09-18?