Public evidence record

0xb7a1…504c

0xb7a18220ca63942bf5d8dae79460b14fbb02504c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-8.0%199 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.7%$56,258 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.55%68 pre-event fills

Settlement record

62-129Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−24.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 199 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -20.7% to +4.6%

199 closed positions · 299 taker fills · $56,258 deployed

Typical position $256 (median) · closing line value measured over 68 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis93 closed32–56-3.6%
Esports81 closed22–57-10.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Tolentino: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmetevatennis · moneyline	Federica Urgesi	lost	54¢ · -117	$503	−503
2026-09-21	St. Tropez: David Goffin vs Mark Lajaltennis · moneyline	David Goffin	lost	19¢ · +427	$192	−192
2026-09-21	Ankara: Aysegul Mert vs Isabella Shinikovatennis · moneyline	Aysegul Mert	won	47¢ · +113	$415	+446
2026-09-21	Tolentino: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero Gormaz