Public evidence record

wsk193130

0xb937a7fd6a3ee626dff328393885094c0557f2c5

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 15, 2026

Source sync: Oct 14, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.9%189 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.6%$16,189 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+1.40%115 pre-event fills

Settlement record

89-83-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−9.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 189 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.6% to +7.8%

189 closed positions · 416 taker fills · $16,189 deployed

Typical position $30 (median) · closing line value measured over 115 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

6 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$22

Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)

Seahawks

entry 51¢ · -104now 51¢ · -102−0.5 pts

Open

value$10

Seahawks vs. Broncos

Seahawks

entry 57¢ · -133now 56¢ · -130−0.5 pts

Open

value$1

Will Brandon Jones win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?

Yes

entry 7¢ · +1395now 4¢ · +2640−3.0 pts

Open

value$2

Will Sam Mayer win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?

Yes

entry 1¢ · +9074now 30¢ · +236+28.7 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

MMA71 closed38–31–1+1.3%
Basketball61 closed28–28-2.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-14	Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline	Davi Cabral	lost	10¢ · +945	$11	−11
2026-10-14	O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals	Over	exited	52¢ · -108	$10	+9
2026-10-13	Dana White's Contender Series: Davi Cabral vs. Douglas da Lapa (Middleweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline	Douglas da Lapa	won	59¢ · -145	$21	−10
2026-10-13	Dana White's Contender Series: Jason Asher vs. Greg Foster (Featherweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline	Jason Asher