Public evidence record

ssa306

0xba56dc99a82e2b7017ed33efd04b9180721f10e8

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-12.4%482 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.7%$18,090 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.22%117 pre-event fills

Settlement record

163-275Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−52.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 482 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -20.0% to -4.7%

482 closed positions · 1,054 taker fills · $18,090 deployed

Typical position $26 (median) · closing line value measured over 117 pre-event fills · 10% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball224 closed74–133-10.3%
Tennis157 closed67–69-2.3%
Esports84 closed17–64-19.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-16	Combo: Los Angeles Dodgers — Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers + Madison Keys — Cincinnati Open: Daria Snigur vs Madison Keysmulti sport · combo	—	lost	47¢ · +114	$303	−303
2026-08-16	Combo: New York Mets — Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets + Yes — Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-16?multi sport · combo	—	lost	23¢ · +331	$100	−100
2026-08-16	Combo: Los Angeles Dodgers — Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers + Over — Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 + Madison Keys — Cincinnati Open: Daria Snigur vs Madison Keys + Viktorija Golubic — Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Viktorija Golubicmulti sport · combo	—	lost	12¢ · +760	$100	−100
2026-08-16