Public evidence record

dancedancer

0xbab2fe3ac77ddf543cd6be37864d02a345bd9dec

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.0%804 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+3.7%$154,364 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample7 pre-event fills

Settlement record

457-347Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−27.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 804 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.4% to +5.3%

804 closed positions · 1,045 taker fills · $154,364 deployed

Typical position $38 (median) · closing line value measured over 7 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$586

St. Tropez: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Billy Harris

Billy Harris

entry 19¢ · +426now 100¢+80.9 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis756 closed428–328-0.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroskatennis · moneyline	Nadia Podoroska	lost	56¢ · -127	$2	−2
2026-09-21	Singapore Open: Kristina Mladenovic vs Nao Hibinotennis · moneyline	Nao Hibino	won	86¢ · -614	$10	+2
2026-09-21	Singapore Open: Kristina Mladenovic vs Nao Hibinotennis · moneyline	Kristina Mladenovic	lost	35¢ · +185	$373	−373
2026-09-21	Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Moyuka Uchijimatennis · moneyline	Lanlana Tararudee	won