Public evidence record

Alexsd21

0xbaf44e6122b17a65959a75407bcab628e653d5c4

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.0%135 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.5%$90,610 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.48%60 pre-event fills

Settlement record

64-57-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−18.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 135 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.7% to +3.8%

135 closed positions · 216 taker fills · $90,610 deployed

Typical position $565 (median) · closing line value measured over 60 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis130 closed61–56–1-5.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	San Diego 2: Erik Arutiunian vs Luca Staehelitennis · moneyline	Luca Staeheli	lost	41¢ · +144	$1,397	−1,397
2026-09-20	Buenos Aires 2: Federico Aguilar Cardozo vs Ryan Dickersontennis · moneyline	Ryan Dickerson	lost	51¢ · -104	$758	−758
2026-09-20	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	51¢ · -104	$717	—
2026-09-20	Saint Tropez: Moez Echargui vs Luca Potenza