Public evidence record

0xbb42…6e09

0xbb42f513bf53e57722d5c2f9da02562049976e09

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.6%2,466 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.0%$251,331 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.44%2,137 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1168-1200-25Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−40.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,466 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.2% to +1.0%

2,466 closed positions · 3,839 taker fills · $251,331 deployed

Typical position $89 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,137 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

9 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$90

Will Oregon be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?

Yes

entry 48¢ · +110now 50¢ · +100+2.3 pts

Open

value$97

Lakers vs. Clippers

Clippers

entry 50¢ · -100now 49¢ · +106−1.5 pts

Open

value$95

Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5

Over

entry 51¢ · -104now 49¢ · +106−2.5 pts

Open

value$175

Will Germany win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?

No

entry 46¢ · +117now 81¢ · -413+34.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer971 closed472–463–1-0.9%
Esports934 closed436–452–16-2.9%
Baseball195 closed91–102-6.6%
Tennis193 closed90–94–7-6.5%
Basketball123 closed49–71-10.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 36.5football · totals	Under	lost	51¢ · -104	$1	−1
2026-11-06	Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5basketball · totals	Over	lost	48¢ · +108	$103	−103
2026-11-06	Stars vs. Blue Jacketshockey · moneyline	Blue Jackets	won	47¢ · +113	$103	+110
2026-11-06	Spread: Warriors (-3.5)basketball · spreads