Public evidence record

0xbb42…6e09

0xbb42f513bf53e57722d5c2f9da02562049976e09

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.1%2,289 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.4%$233,557 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.54%1,939 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1086-1107-23Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−33.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,289 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.9% to +1.6%

2,289 closed positions · 3,627 taker fills · $233,557 deployed

Typical position $89 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,939 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

10 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$6

Will Oregon be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?

Yes

entry 48¢ · +110now 3¢ · +2930−44.4 pts

Open

value$17

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

O 99.5

entry 49¢ · +102now 63¢ · -167+13.1 pts

Open

value$60

Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?

Yes

entry 51¢ · -104now 56¢ · -125+4.4 pts

Open

value$14

Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?

No

entry 48¢ · +108now 100¢+51.8 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports889 closed410–435–14-3.5%
Soccer886 closed432–418–1-0.3%
Tennis192 closed89–94–7-6.5%
Baseball191 closed91–98-5.5%
Basketball93 closed40–50-7.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	LoL: FENNEL vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group Cesports · moneyline	Vivo Keyd Stars Academy	won	54¢ · -116	$102	+84
2026-09-20	Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)esports · map handicap	Movistar KOI	lost	51¢ · -104	$102	−102
2026-09-20	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	No	won	52¢ · -108	$102	—
2026-09-20