Public evidence record

0xbbe7…b7f9

0xbbe7dd8f3e2ea8171b56394b5eaf9b75dc27b7f9

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 4, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.0%151 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+0.1%$14,934 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.52%100 pre-event fills

Settlement record

105-37Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−3.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 151 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.7% to +4.7%

151 closed positions · 192 taker fills · $14,934 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 100 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

7 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$44

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5?

No

entry 78¢ · -346now 68¢ · -213−9.6 pts

Open

value$2

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 5?

Yes

entry 12¢ · +758now 6¢ · +1718−6.2 pts

Open

value$9

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5?

Yes

entry 63¢ · -170now 59¢ · -144−4.0 pts

Open

value$68

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes

entry 2¢ · +4875now 3¢ · +3536+0.7 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer151 closed105–37-1.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 57 sports · 43 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-03	Combo: Over — Vitesse Arnhem vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5 + Yes — Vitesse Arnhem vs. NAC Breda: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · combo	—	won	61¢ · -158	$50	+30
2026-10-03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 3?Non-sports	Yes	won	69¢ · -223	$10	—
2026-10-03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 3?Non-sports	No	won	87¢ · -669	$50	—
2026-10-03