Public evidence record

Clawbangers

0xbc7de0402f6ea3358b4d30805a11a3b524ca305e

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.4%638 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.7%$417,940 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.67%91 pre-event fills

Settlement record

410-106-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−39.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 638 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.5% to -3.4%

638 closed positions · 1,461 taker fills · $417,940 deployed

Typical position $502 (median) · closing line value measured over 91 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$1846

Flames vs. Avalanche

Avalanche

entry 83¢ · -490now 99¢ · -7900+15.7 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball165 closed102–20-2.6%
Hockey111 closed81–12-1.9%
Tennis110 closed67–21-7.9%
Soccer68 closed33–21-11.4%
Basketball57 closed37–2-2.6%
Esports50 closed39–7-7.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 92 sports · 8 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linettetennis · moneyline	Mai Hontama	lost	79¢ · -376	$101	−101
2026-11-06	Set 1 Winner: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linettetennis · tennis first set winner	Mai Hontama	won	72¢ · -261	$203	+74
2026-11-06	Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline	No	won	93¢ · -1329	$662	—
2026-11-06	Predators vs. Avalanche