Public evidence record

1winstreak1

0xbca08c1bc204a34f2fddbe47b438b9bd42ac9705

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.1%45,847 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+4.5%$27,324,944 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+1.11%651 pre-event fills

Settlement record

24195-21648-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−303.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 45,847 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.0% to -5.1%

45,847 closed positions · 139,722 taker fills · $27,324,944 deployed

Typical position $100 (median) · closing line value measured over 651 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

3 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$22105

Cardinals vs. Cowboys

Cardinals

entry 55¢ · -124now 100¢+44.5 pts

Open

value$1742

Titans vs. Bengals

Titans

entry 57¢ · -131now 9¢ · +1076−48.2 pts

Open

value$13470

Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)

Cardinals

entry 81¢ · -423now 100¢+18.6 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball24,998 closed13454–11542–2-5.3%
Football14,383 closed7352–7029–2-9.2%
Basketball5,249 closed2728–2521-0.4%
Hockey703 closed467–236+0.1%
Soccer295 closed134–161-16.5%
Esports219 closed60–159-18.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Magic vs. Suns: O/U 224.5basketball · totals	Over	lost	47¢ · +115	$524	−524
2026-11-06	Magic vs. Suns: O/U 222.5basketball · totals	Over	lost	55¢ · -124	$836	−836
2026-11-06	James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 67.5football · totals	Under	lost	55¢ · -122	$83	−83
2026-11-06	Magic vs. Suns: O/U 225.5basketball · totals	Over	lost	48¢ · +106	$246