Public evidence record

TheWorldInCrimson

0xbe1c2abab0a725ad0a37e16779728ff92b0c14de

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 13, 2026

Source sync: Oct 12, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.0%465 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+2.2%$62,725 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.77%54 pre-event fills

Settlement record

213-250-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−16.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 465 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.8% to +4.8%

465 closed positions · 1,087 taker fills · $62,725 deployed

Typical position $90 (median) · closing line value measured over 54 pre-event fills · 20% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

5 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$469

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zenith - Game 2 Winner

Yakult Brothers

entry 64¢ · -175now 71¢ · -239+6.9 ptsboth sides

Open

value$165

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zenith - Game 2 Winner

Zenith

entry 43¢ · +131now 30¢ · +239−13.8 ptsboth sides

Open

value$387

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zenith - Game 1 Winner

Zenith

entry 36¢ · +179now 100¢+64.2 pts

Open

value$183

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zenith (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports465 closed213–250–1-4.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-11	Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)esports · map handicap	Yawara Esports	lost	52¢ · -107	$20	−20
2026-10-11	Counter-Strike: Imperial vs NRG (BO3) - FRAG University Playoffsesports · moneyline	NRG	lost	21¢ · +374	$44	−44
2026-10-11	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winneresports · child moneyline	Team Spirit	lost	7¢ · +1438	$27	−27
2026-10-11	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winneresports · child moneyline	Team Yandex	won