Public evidence record

0xbe4d…d39b

0xbe4d9aca32d4636527c7fd88ba76c2ff00c3d39b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.2%308 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.9%$38,039 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-4.01%30 pre-event fills

Settlement record

199-31-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−13.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 308 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.2% to -0.1%

308 closed positions · 490 taker fills · $38,039 deployed

Typical position $58 (median) · closing line value measured over 30 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$233

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

New York Yankees

entry 91¢ · -1010now 89¢ · -770−2.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball134 closed102–9-3.2%
Tennis117 closed59–16–1-4.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline	Los Angeles Dodgers	won	92¢ · -1150	$226	+19
2026-09-20	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	81¢ · -426	$187	—
2026-09-19	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline	Los Angeles Dodgers	won	91¢ · -1011	$171	+16
2026-09-18	Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Stormbasketball · moneyline	Las Vegas Aces	won	97¢ · -2871