Public evidence record

0xbe4d…d39b

0xbe4d9aca32d4636527c7fd88ba76c2ff00c3d39b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.3%376 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.7%$47,458 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-3.93%36 pre-event fills

Settlement record

258-40-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−19.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 376 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.2% to -0.3%

376 closed positions · 566 taker fills · $47,458 deployed

Typical position $62 (median) · closing line value measured over 36 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

We couldn’t reach the source just now, so this is unavailable rather than empty. The settled record below is unaffected.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball152 closed118–11-3.2%
Tennis118 closed60–16–1-4.9%
Basketball75 closed55–11-4.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-05	Heat vs. Warriorsbasketball · moneyline	Warriors	won	71¢ · -245	$26	+10
2026-11-05	Heat vs. Clippersbasketball · moneyline	Clippers	lost	63¢ · -170	$41	−41
2026-11-05	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)basketball · spreads	Spurs	lost	90¢ · -900	$181	−181
2026-11-05	Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)basketball · spreads	Jazz	won	96¢ · -2400	$147	+6