Public evidence record

0xbee2…6527

0xbee2b37595a79647ede1a5a321c57528bcc36527

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-10.6%105 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-7.3%$76,908 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample15 pre-event fills

Settlement record

41-41Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−12.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 105 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -17.7% to -3.5%

105 closed positions · 201 taker fills · $76,908 deployed

Typical position $385 (median) · closing line value measured over 15 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

We couldn’t reach the source just now, so this is unavailable rather than empty. The settled record below is unaffected.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball61 closed22–29-9.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 34 sports · 66 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-26	Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5baseball · totals	Over	lost	60¢ · -150	$15	−15
2026-09-26	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5baseball · totals	Under	lost	68¢ · -212	$80	−80
2026-09-24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETNon-sports	Up	lost	64¢ · -178	$77	−50
2026-09-24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET