Public evidence record

opiop18

0xbfa8c6d4fbed5aaca4661ee2079c1fc0ce676e47

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 6, 2026

Source sync: Oct 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.6%361 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+1.5%$33,831 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.43%46 pre-event fills

Settlement record

95-141-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−24.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 361 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.0% to +5.8%

361 closed positions · 590 taker fills · $33,831 deployed

Typical position $84 (median) · closing line value measured over 46 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports178 closed60–66-1.7%
Tennis134 closed20–51–3-1.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 95 sports · 5 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-05	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stageesports · moneyline	Vitality	won	52¢ · -108	$178	+156
2026-10-05	Counter-Strike: Gothic vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Besports · moneyline	MOUZ NXT	lost	45¢ · +122	$49	−5
2026-10-05	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stageesports · moneyline	Aurora Gaming	won	70¢ · -232	$1,124	+277
2026-10-05