Public evidence record

Tomy-Baron

0xc25480b4b53ba27c86959fc786a3ad187547c435

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-8.4%171 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.3%$15,703 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.61%96 pre-event fills

Settlement record

62-106Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−11.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 171 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -20.5% to +3.7%

171 closed positions · 371 taker fills · $15,703 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 96 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball130 closed51–78-5.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-20	Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · moneyline	Chicago White Sox	lost	32¢ · +212	$61	−61
2026-08-20	San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · moneyline	San Francisco Giants	lost	21¢ · +376	$21	−21
2026-08-19	ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Doroteja Petrovic vs Lejla Hana Golubovictennis · moneyline	Lejla Hana Golubovic	lost	31¢ · +223	$2	−2
2026-08-19	ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Maria Sara Popa vs Stefania Bojicatennis · moneyline	Stefania Bojica	lost