Public evidence record

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0xc27830f67a48df607b661ac1417e4d96b2e9a116

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Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology
Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 8, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Cumulative returnUnits normalized to the average position
Oldest settled position120 points shownMost recent

Sample-adjusted return

+5.9%743 settled positions

Closing line value

-1.41%749 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+34%749 pre-event fills

Settlement record

56-109Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: +1.8% to +10.0%

743 settled positions · 4,165 taker fills · $33,278 deployed

Closing line value measured over 749 pre-event fills · 26% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

SettledOutcomeEntry (implied)CostResult
2026-08-08exited45% · +122$49+41
2026-08-07exited29% · +245$34−1
2026-08-07exited71% · -245$9+4
2026-08-07won45% · +121$39+41
2026-08-07exited37% · +173$42+24
2026-08-07exited41% · +142$39−21
2026-08-06exited25% · +300$41−2
2026-08-06exited48% · +110$42+17
2026-08-06lost41% · +144$18−16
2026-08-06exited45% · +122$13+15
2026-08-06exited47% · +113$18−15
2026-08-06exited37% · +173$18+2
2026-08-05exited42% · +138$13−11
2026-08-05exited59% · -144$9+6
2026-08-05won38% · +163$49+81
2026-08-05exited47% · +113$12+12
2026-08-05exited36% · +178$12−7
2026-08-05exited43% · +133$48−37
2026-08-04won36% · +178$12+22
2026-08-04exited42% · +138$48+55
2026-07-31exited25% · +300$9−8
2026-07-17exited18% · +456$9−3
2026-07-17won45% · +121$98+118
2026-07-14exited15% · +567$9+1
2026-07-12exited43% · +133$30−27
2026-07-12won34% · +194$48+93
2026-07-12exited20% · +400$2−2
2026-07-12exited46% · +117$8−0
2026-07-12exited53% · -113$30+21
2026-07-12exited49% · +104$12+8
2026-07-11exited49% · +104$12−7
2026-07-11lost41% · +144$12−12
2026-07-11exited50% · -100$7−4
2026-07-11exited50% · -100$14−2
2026-07-11lost34% · +194$14−14
2026-07-11exited62% · -163$19−1
2026-07-11lost50% · -100$13−9
2026-07-11exited47% · +113$40−1
2026-07-11exited59% · -144$32+4
2026-07-11lost32% · +212$16−16
2026-07-11lost35% · +184$36−20
2026-07-11won43% · +131$19+1
2026-07-11exited50% · -100$17+3
2026-07-11exited54% · -117$49−1
2026-07-10exited45% · +120$50+3
2026-07-10exited47% · +113$25−1
2026-07-10exited43% · +133$32−3
2026-07-10lost48% · +108$26−26
2026-07-09lost43% · +133$15−7
2026-07-09exited54% · -117$25−0
2026-07-09lost40% · +150$25−19
2026-07-09exited47% · +113$16+3
2026-07-09exited40% · +150$14+6
2026-07-09exited43% · +133$49+2
2026-07-08won36% · +178$18+32
2026-07-08exited56% · -127$49+6
2026-07-08exited48% · +108$41−1
2026-07-08exited48% · +108$49−41
2026-07-08exited23% · +329$6−0
2026-07-08exited30% · +230$9−0
2026-07-07won28% · +258$22+28
2026-07-07exited47% · +111$22+3
2026-07-07lost32% · +212$20−20
2026-07-07lost43% · +131$28−28
2026-07-07lost39% · +154$22−22
2026-07-07exited6% · +1567$1+5
2026-07-07lost41% · +144$22−22
2026-07-07exited29% · +249$60+6
2026-07-07exited49% · +104$15+2
2026-07-07exited14% · +619$22+0
2026-07-07exited26% · +285$6+7
2026-07-06exited50% · +102$68+11
2026-07-06exited47% · +112$63−3
2026-07-06exited46% · +118$23+3
2026-07-06exited30% · +233$6−3
2026-07-06exited12% · +733$4−4
2026-07-06exited35% · +186$22+14
2026-07-06exited34% · +197$23+7
2026-07-05exited40% · +153$18+9
2026-07-05exited48% · +107$17+9
2026-07-05lost30% · +230$36−20
2026-07-05exited48% · +108$13−1
2026-07-05won41% · +144$13−1
2026-07-05exited44% · +126$19+2
2026-07-05exited35% · +186$38+0
2026-07-05won45% · +122$25+4
2026-07-05exited39% · +157$21+7
2026-07-05won51% · -105$9+5
2026-07-05exited29% · +245$10+2
2026-07-05exited34% · +194$13−11
2026-07-05exited40% · +150$12+11
2026-07-05exited57% · -133$9+4
2026-07-04exited50% · -100$19+1
2026-07-04lost54% · -117$7−7
2026-07-04lost40% · +150$5−5
2026-07-04lost42% · +138$13−13
2026-07-04won42% · +138$0+0
2026-07-03lost30% · +233$8−4
2026-07-03lost50% · -100$18−9
2026-07-03lost36% · +175$18−9