Public evidence record

NewsGurus

0xc27830f67a48df607b661ac1417e4d96b2e9a116

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.3%1,282 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.8%$60,276 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.22%2,891 pre-event fills

Settlement record

189-410Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−66.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,282 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.2% to -1.5%

1,282 closed positions · 4,576 taker fills · $60,276 deployed

Typical position $26 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,891 pre-event fills · 18% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

5 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$11

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves

Cincinnati Reds

entry 37¢ · +170now 34¢ · +199−3.5 pts

Open

value$49

Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants

entry 46¢ · +118now 45¢ · +125−1.3 pts

Open

value$42

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes

entry 19¢ · +432now 21¢ · +384+1.9 pts

Open

value$7

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes

entry 17¢ · +481now 7¢ · +1360−10.3 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball1,279 closed188–409-5.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 91 sports · 9 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbaseball · moneyline	New York Mets	lost	40¢ · +150	$15	−15
2026-09-20	Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline	Colorado Rockies	lost	41¢ · +144	$15	−15
2026-09-20	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · moneyline	Toronto Blue Jays	won	42¢ · +138	$15	+20
2026-09-20	Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays