Public evidence record

Dicarnusa

0xc3061359583d8405c6c0a9bb0e27dbba799a3bb9

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-9.0%332 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.5%$22,804 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-8.24%51 pre-event fills

Settlement record

93-196-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−30.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 332 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -19.5% to +1.5%

332 closed positions · 501 taker fills · $22,804 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 51 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball104 closed32–59-5.2%
Tennis90 closed32–46-2.8%
Football56 closed13–37–1-7.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-05	Combo: Heat — Heat vs. Clippers + Flames — Flames vs. Krakenmulti sport · combo	—	lost	16¢ · +523	$14	−14
2026-11-01	Miami (FL) vs. North Carolinafootball · moneyline	North Carolina	lost	24¢ · +317	$59	−59
2026-10-30	Combo: Moise Kouame — Brest: Moise Kouame vs Francesco Maestrelli + Valentin Vacherot — Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot + Han Shi — Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi + Alex de Minaur — Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Alex de Minaur + Xinran Sun — Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu + Alexander Zverev — Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Ferytennis · combo	—	lost	2¢ · +4970	$2	−2
2026-10-30