Public evidence record

frohp5

0xc3973025163de81e367ad29c21e296e51684bb3b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+3.5%3,526 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+5.0%$1,472,651 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+2.05%197 pre-event fills

Settlement record

2087-980-12Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−25.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 3,526 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: +1.2% to +5.8%

3,526 closed positions · 7,876 taker fills · $1,472,651 deployed

Typical position $250 (median) · closing line value measured over 197 pre-event fills · 8% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

5 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$1291

LoL: Barça eSports vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 1 Winner

Barça eSports

entry 64¢ · -182now 100¢+35.5 pts

Open

value$553

LoL: Barça eSports vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 2 Winner

Barça eSports

entry 90¢ · -937now 100¢+9.6 pts

Open

value$388

LoL: SU Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner

UCAM Esports Club

entry 77¢ · -338now 100¢+22.8 pts

Open

value$344

LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs CITA Kaizen - Game 1 Winner

Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports3,192 closed1889–883–10+3.2%
MMA198 closed110–65–2+3.9%
Soccer114 closed68–32-4.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group Cesports · moneyline	Dplus KIA Challengers	won	89¢ · -809	$1	−0
2026-09-21	Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline	Chiefs	won	87¢ · -669	$1	+0
2026-09-20	LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winneresports · child moneyline	FlyQuest	push	46¢ · +116	$45	+2
2026-09-20	LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winneresports · child moneyline	Team Liquid	won