Public evidence record

0xc494…543c

0xc4943585d92fe5ae82a2ae472249a3723bb5543c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.0%570 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.3%$42,229 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.39%81 pre-event fills

Settlement record

162-261-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−31.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 570 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.3% to +0.3%

570 closed positions · 1,420 taker fills · $42,229 deployed

Typical position $48 (median) · closing line value measured over 81 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis162 closed55–70–1-6.0%
Baseball150 closed37–70-5.5%
Basketball136 closed43–60-6.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 89 sports · 11 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-05	Combo: Heat — Heat vs. Clippers + Jake Delaney — Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasikamulti sport · combo	—	lost	21¢ · +378	$2	−2
2026-11-05	Combo: Tommy Paul — Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys + Francesco Maestrelli — Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Peter Makk + Clippers — Heat vs. Clippers + Yosuke Watanuki — Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura + Spurs — Mavericks vs. Spurs + Ben Shelton — Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech + Jake Delaney — Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika + Sorana Cirstea — Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana + Lakers — Lakers vs. Kings + Tomas Etcheverry — Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry + Anna Blinkova — Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li + Yes — Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? + Yes — Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?multi sport · combo	—	lost	3¢ · +3456	$1	−1
2026-11-05	Heat vs. Clippers