value$17
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes
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Public evidence record
0xc4c1065d8dba0be248a3994fdefd97bd83ff6b32
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-7.0%400 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-8.1%$239,231 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.66%756 pre-event fillsSettlement record
208-189-1Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−51.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 400 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -14.7% to +0.7%
400 closed positions · 1,106 taker fills · $239,231 deployed
Typical position $104 (median) · closing line value measured over 756 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 0 sports · 0 non-sports · 100 unlabeled. Unlabeled means we have not matched that condition to market metadata yet — not that it was removed.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 49¢ · +106 | $5,583 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 83¢ · -488 | $1,181 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 54¢ · -117 | $1,033 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — |
| lost |
| 58¢ · -138 |
| $2,062 |
| — |
| 2026-09-19 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 54¢ · -117 | $2,066 | +1,638 |
| 2026-09-19 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $5,150 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $5,160 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 50¢ · -100 | $104 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $205 | −205 |
| 2026-09-18 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 71¢ · -245 | $512 | +192 |
| 2026-09-18 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 77¢ · -334 | $511 | +139 |
| 2026-09-18 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $1,040 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 67¢ · -203 | $1,026 | +466 |
| 2026-09-18 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $5,067 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $13,299 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 54¢ · -119 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-17 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 75¢ · -300 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 55¢ · -122 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-17 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-17 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 72¢ · -257 | $1,024 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 43¢ · +133 | $208 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 57¢ · -132 | $103 | +72 |
| 2026-09-16 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 70¢ · -233 | $1,063 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 20¢ · +388 | $105 | −105 |
| 2026-09-16 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $208 | −208 |
| 2026-09-16 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $1,014 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $3,040 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 67¢ · -203 | $1,026 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 66¢ · -194 | $5,135 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $519 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 74¢ · -291 | $6,511 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-15 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 45¢ · +124 | $1,038 | −1,038 |
| 2026-09-15 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 64¢ · -176 | $1,028 | −1,028 |
| 2026-09-15 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 55¢ · -122 | $2,065 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 68¢ · -212 | $205 | +89 |
| 2026-09-14 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $104 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 80¢ · -400 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 80¢ · -400 | $1,020 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 68¢ · -217 | $123 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 78¢ · -355 | $1 | +0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 79¢ · -376 | $1,468 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $24 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 44¢ · +127 | $49 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $10 | −6 |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 51¢ · -104 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 25¢ · +300 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 67¢ · -200 | $513 | +237 |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 84¢ · -525 | $1,527 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 68¢ · -212 | $1,026 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $105 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 88¢ · -733 | $5,080 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $5,132 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 29¢ · +250 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-13 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 71¢ · -250 | $102 | +38 |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 44¢ · +128 | $3,153 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 48¢ · +108 | $104 | +105 |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 62¢ · -163 | $3,087 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $5,140 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 81¢ · -426 | $2,039 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 87¢ · -669 | $5,082 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 72¢ · -255 | $2,048 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 49¢ · +104 | $207 | +201 |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $105 | −105 |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $521 | −521 |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 80¢ · -400 | $5,100 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $207 | −207 |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 64¢ · -178 | $207 | +108 |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 67¢ · -203 | $103 | +47 |
| 2026-09-12 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 47¢ · +111 | $104 | +107 |
| 2026-09-11 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 63¢ · -170 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 55¢ · -122 | $21 | +16 |
| 2026-09-10 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 38¢ · +163 | $104 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $105 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 45¢ · +122 | $207 | +237 |
| 2026-09-10 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 64¢ · -178 | $206 | +107 |
| 2026-09-10 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-09-10 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 62¢ · -163 | $206 | +117 |
| 2026-09-10 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 90¢ · -900 | $5,075 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $5,070 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 59¢ · -145 | $6,143 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 32¢ · +212 | $104 | +208 |
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 40¢ · +150 | $104 | +146 |
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 67¢ · -200 | $2,053 | −2,053 |
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 32¢ · +212 | $104 | +208 |
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $5,072 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 56¢ · -127 | $206 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 57¢ · -133 | $206 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 64¢ · -178 | $5,140 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-08 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | won | 35¢ · +186 | $104 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | Unlabeled marketUnlabeled | — | lost | 40¢ · +153 | $416 | −416 |