Public evidence record

nakshi

0xc57b3e98276eb1009073b38320bfa668c0c50a2b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-8.2%346 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-11.8%$91,236 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.14%211 pre-event fills

Settlement record

130-208-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−72.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 346 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -18.3% to +1.9%

346 closed positions · 573 taker fills · $91,236 deployed

Typical position $201 (median) · closing line value measured over 211 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

4 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$375

Bengals vs. Steelers

Steelers

entry 38¢ · +163now 38¢ · +167−0.5 pts

Open

value$1198

Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?

Yes

entry 34¢ · +190now 38¢ · +167+3.1 pts

Open

value$380

Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2026 AFC North?

Yes

entry 15¢ · +567now 10¢ · +953−5.5 pts

Open

value$63

Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes

entry 1¢ · +7652now 1¢−0.7 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports191 closed76–107–1-4.2%
Football74 closed26–48-9.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Combo: Over — Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5 + Steelers — Steelers vs. Patriotsfootball · combo	—	lost	20¢ · +410	$200	−200
2026-09-18	LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffsesports · moneyline	Team WE	lost	43¢ · +133	$206	−206
2026-09-17	Lions vs. Bills: O/U 72.5football · totals	Over	lost	12¢ · +734	$42	−42
2026-09-17	Lions vs. Bills: O/U 66.5