Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
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Public evidence record
0xc63886ec9f9a6176de62798a752bd25612d6e298
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Oct 4, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-2.4%1,137 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-3.0%$809,753 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-0.82%142 pre-event fillsSettlement record
1021-88Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−47.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,137 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.2% to -0.6%
1,137 closed positions · 2,362 taker fills · $809,753 deployed
Typical position $500 (median) · closing line value measured over 142 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Czechia?
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 92 sports · 8 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5basketball · totals | Over | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $22 | +0 |
| 2026-10-04 | Heat vs. Raptorsbasketball · moneyline | Heat | won | 99¢ · -7596 | $3,402 | +43 |
| 2026-10-04 | Spread: Raptors (-5.5)basketball · spreads | Heat | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $24 | +1 |
| 2026-10-04 | Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5basketball · totals |
| Over |
| won |
| 95¢ · -1940 |
| $501 |
| +25 |
| 2026-10-03 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2525 | $1,302 | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Will Namibia win on 2026-10-03?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 96¢ · -2302 | $1,002 | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $1,103 | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Will Brazil win on 2026-10-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $2,003 | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -5006 | $3,804 | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 159.5basketball · totals | Under | won | 99¢ · -9395 | $186 | +2 |
| 2026-10-03 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 157.5basketball · totals | Under | won | 97¢ · -2857 | $501 | +17 |
| 2026-10-03 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 158.5basketball · totals | Under | won | 97¢ · -2758 | $280 | +10 |
| 2026-10-03 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbasketball · moneyline | Golden State Valkyries | won | 88¢ · -733 | $101 | +13 |
| 2026-10-03 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbasketball · moneyline | Dallas Wings | lost | 75¢ · -300 | $304 | −279 |
| 2026-10-03 | Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 61.5football · totals | Over | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $400 | +4 |
| 2026-10-03 | Barbados vs. Bermuda: O/U 4.5totals · Non-sports | Over | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $100 | +1 |
| 2026-10-03 | Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5football · totals | Over | won | 98¢ · -4667 | $500 | +10 |
| 2026-10-03 | Liberty vs. Delaware: O/U 57.5football · totals | Under | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $300 | +3 |
| 2026-10-02 | Will San Marino win on 2026-10-03?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -3902 | $2,403 | — |
| 2026-10-02 | India vs. Brazil: India O/U 0.5soccer · soccer team totals | Under | won | 70¢ · -233 | $203 | +83 |
| 2026-10-02 | Steelers vs. Browns · Spread Browns (-9.5)football · spreads | Steelers | won | 99¢ · -7563 | $700 | +9 |
| 2026-10-02 | Steelers vs. Browns · Spread Steelers (-4.5)football · spreads | Browns | won | 99¢ · -11358 | $364 | +3 |
| 2026-10-02 | Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State: O/U 47.5football · totals | Under | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $200 | +2 |
| 2026-10-02 | Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State: O/U 53.5football · totals | Under | won | 98¢ · -4900 | $100 | +2 |
| 2026-10-02 | Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State · Spread New Mexico State (-14.5)football · spreads | New Mexico State | won | 76¢ · -320 | $101 | +31 |
| 2026-10-02 | Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbasketball · moneyline | Las Vegas Aces | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $1,002 | +50 |
| 2026-10-02 | Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5basketball · totals | Over | lost | 90¢ · -937 | $603 | −443 |
| 2026-10-02 | Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico Statefootball · moneyline | New Mexico State | won | 99¢ · -7213 | $1,601 | +22 |
| 2026-10-02 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · moneyline | Atlanta Braves | won | 99¢ · -16567 | $500 | +3 |
| 2026-10-01 | Anguilla vs. Antigua and Barbuda: O/U 1.5totals · Non-sports | Over | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $200 | +2 |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-10-01?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 94¢ · -1650 | $1,003 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-10-01?moneyline · Non-sports | No | won | 97¢ · -3102 | $401 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Anguilla win on 2026-10-01?moneyline · Non-sports | No | won | 99¢ · -8233 | $1,001 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Spread: Wales (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Norway | won | 99¢ · -13855 | $1,000 | +7 |
| 2026-10-01 | Spread: Wales (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Norway | won | 97¢ · -2757 | $1,002 | +35 |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Lebanon win on 2026-10-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 98¢ · -4898 | $1,001 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Maldives win on 2026-10-01?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 99¢ · -7583 | $1,101 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $1,003 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 0¢ · +49900 | $1 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-10-01?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 96¢ · -2485 | $601 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 100¢ · -37563 | $500 | +1 |
| 2026-10-01 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 155.5basketball · totals | Over | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $501 | +20 |
| 2026-10-01 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 156.5basketball · totals | Over | won | 95¢ · -1741 | $602 | +33 |
| 2026-10-01 | Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mysticsbasketball · moneyline | Atlanta Dream | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $1,501 | +14 |
| 2026-10-01 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · moneyline | Chicago White Sox | won | 99¢ · -7657 | $1,001 | +12 |
| 2026-09-30 | Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $502 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Will Bolivia win on 2026-09-30?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -3924 | $2,002 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-30?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 97¢ · -3171 | $1,002 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Eritrea vs. South Africa · Spread Eritrea (-1.5)spreads · Non-sports | South Africa | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $500 | +5 |
| 2026-09-30 | Spread: Peru (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Mexico | won | 98¢ · -6330 | $1,601 | +24 |
| 2026-09-30 | Will Peru win on 2026-09-29?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $602 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)basketball · spreads | Indiana Fever | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $1,601 | +15 |
| 2026-09-30 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbasketball · moneyline | Indiana Fever | won | 96¢ · -2320 | $2,405 | +99 |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Morocco win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 97¢ · -2862 | $373 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will San Marino win on 2026-09-29?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -6566 | $3,002 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 England?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -10755 | $700 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Spread: Czechia (-1.5)soccer · spreads | England | won | 98¢ · -5163 | $1,001 | +18 |
| 2026-09-29 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Croatia?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 98¢ · -5456 | $2,002 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Spread: Croatia (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Spain | won | 99¢ · -8893 | $2,001 | +21 |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium vs. France · Spread Belgium (-2.5)soccer · spreads | France | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $1,001 | +29 |
| 2026-09-28 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbasketball · moneyline | Golden State Valkyries | won | 99¢ · -10001 | $1,000 | +10 |
| 2026-09-27 | Spread: Greece (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Germany | won | 99¢ · -11011 | $1,000 | +9 |
| 2026-09-27 | Spread: Serbia (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Netherlands | won | 97¢ · -3227 | $1,002 | +29 |
| 2026-09-27 | Houston Dynamo vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 52¢ · -108 | $379 | +333 |
| 2026-09-27 | Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twinsbaseball · moneyline | Texas Rangers | won | 99¢ · -7249 | $500 | +7 |
| 2026-09-27 | Wisconsin vs. Penn Statefootball · moneyline | Penn State | lost | 96¢ · -2292 | $1,400 | −1,150 |
| 2026-09-26 | Delaware vs. Virginiafootball · moneyline | Virginia | won | 99¢ · -7812 | $500 | +6 |
| 2026-09-26 | James Madison vs. Old Dominionfootball · moneyline | James Madison | won | 97¢ · -3836 | $1,300 | +34 |
| 2026-09-26 | Ole Miss vs. Floridafootball · moneyline | Florida | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $1,000 | +31 |
| 2026-09-26 | Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -4662 | $2,002 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | Exact Score: San Marino 1 - 0 Finland?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -11011 | $2,001 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Athletics | won | 98¢ · -6017 | $1,501 | +24 |
| 2026-09-26 | Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbaseball · moneyline | Athletics | won | 84¢ · -525 | $101 | +18 |
| 2026-09-26 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Angels | won | 99¢ · -11199 | $300 | +3 |
| 2026-09-26 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 97¢ · -3082 | $2,604 | +80 |
| 2026-09-26 | Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twinsbaseball · moneyline | Minnesota Twins | won | 98¢ · -5264 | $1,001 | +18 |
| 2026-09-26 | Harvard vs. Brownfootball · moneyline | Harvard | won | 100¢ · -25433 | $500 | +2 |
| 2026-09-26 | Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbaseball · moneyline | Miami Marlins | won | 97¢ · -3101 | $1,002 | +31 |
| 2026-09-25 | Spread: France (-1.5)soccer · spreads | France | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-09-25 | Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)soccer · spreads | France | won | 99¢ · -14186 | $2,001 | +13 |
| 2026-09-25 | Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)soccer · spreads | France | won | 97¢ · -3126 | $1,002 | +30 |
| 2026-09-25 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparksbasketball · moneyline | Los Angeles Sparks | lost | 98¢ · -4900 | $500 | −500 |
| 2026-09-25 | Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 55.5football · totals | Under | won | 75¢ · -306 | $200 | +65 |
| 2026-09-25 | Spread: Falcons (-7.5)football · spreads | Falcons | won | 100¢ · -64245 | $400 | +1 |
| 2026-09-25 | Spread: Falcons (-2.5)football · spreads | Falcons | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $22 | +0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Falcons vs. Packersfootball · moneyline | Falcons | won | 98¢ · -5373 | $3,500 | +65 |
| 2026-09-25 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercurybasketball · moneyline | Las Vegas Aces | won | 99¢ · -17559 | $300 | +2 |
| 2026-09-25 | Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5basketball · totals | Under | won | 98¢ · -4876 | $2,001 | +39 |
| 2026-09-25 | Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbasketball · moneyline | Minnesota Lynx | won | 95¢ · -1914 | $2,005 | +100 |
| 2026-09-25 | Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sunbasketball · moneyline | Connecticut Sun | won | 99¢ · -19793 | $1,000 | +5 |
| 2026-09-24 | Perth Wildcats vs. Adelaide 36ers: O/U 182.5totals · Non-sports | Over | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $48 | +1 |
| 2026-09-24 | New York Mets vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · moneyline | New York Mets | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $700 | +7 |
| 2026-09-24 | Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5basketball · totals | Under | won | 99¢ · -9474 | $100 | +1 |
| 2026-09-24 | Atlanta Dream vs. New York Libertybasketball · moneyline | Atlanta Dream | won | 95¢ · -1900 | $702 | +35 |
| 2026-09-24 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals | won | 98¢ · -5393 | $2,702 | +48 |
| 2026-09-24 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 99¢ · -13608 | $1,000 | +7 |
| 2026-09-24 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 99¢ · -9856 | $800 | +8 |
| 2026-09-24 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $119 | +1 |
| 2026-09-23 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbaseball · moneyline | Athletics | won | 97¢ · -3593 | $501 | +13 |
| 2026-09-23 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 99¢ · -9021 | $2,101 | +22 |