Public evidence record

Alicenine14777

0xc651dd9187080cd7e841b56bd9ae9dd4840e4e2c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 5, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.6%92 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.5%$4,977 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample26 pre-event fills

Settlement record

48-32-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−6.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 92 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.6% to +2.3%

92 closed positions · 169 taker fills · $4,977 deployed

Typical position $46 (median) · closing line value measured over 26 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports72 closed38–26–1-6.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 92 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-05	China Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatektennis · moneyline	Iga Swiatek	exited	75¢ · -300	$30	+10
2026-10-04	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stageesports · moneyline	Vitality	won	83¢ · -488	$100	−16
2026-10-04	Counter-Strike · Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5esports · round over under game 1	Over	won	60¢ · -150	$26	+16
2026-10-04	LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner