Public evidence record

RoadTo1MillionUsd

0xc6ae4cdece4be7f21b747eb11f6eaaa37972afe9

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-12.5%1,461 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-16.4%$542,209 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.96%741 pre-event fills

Settlement record

452-864-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−261.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,461 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -17.6% to -7.4%

1,461 closed positions · 2,694 taker fills · $542,209 deployed

Typical position $224 (median) · closing line value measured over 741 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports577 closed182–342–2-10.4%
Tennis334 closed119–183–2-5.1%
Basketball297 closed49–209-22.4%
Baseball143 closed56–68-3.1%
Soccer64 closed27–35-7.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniatotennis · moneyline	Francesco Maestrelli	lost	53¢ · -113	$166	−166
2026-11-06	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikatatennis · moneyline	Luca Van Assche	exited	50¢ · -100	$85	+81
2026-11-06	Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefaninitennis · moneyline	Lucrezia Stefanini	lost	52¢ · -108	$195	−195
2026-11-06	Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linettetennis · moneyline	Mai Hontama	lost