Public evidence record

Afornson

0xc6dd65679a32fe31a4197cb94a3dbbdc393940ce

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 4, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.5%171 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+3.7%$509,923 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.96%55 pre-event fills

Settlement record

89-57Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−5.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 171 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.2% to +5.2%

171 closed positions · 314 taker fills · $509,923 deployed

Typical position $1,677 (median) · closing line value measured over 55 pre-event fills · 27% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports129 closed65–44-5.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 95 sports · 5 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-29	Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stageesports · moneyline	ENJOY	lost	32¢ · +211	$2,947	−2,947
2026-09-27	Counter-Strike: M80 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffsesports · moneyline	DENDELE CS	lost	66¢ · -190	$6,110	−6,110
2026-09-27	Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffsesports · moneyline	magic	lost	56¢ · -128	$1,458	−1,458
2026-09-27